Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Despite a recent upturn in form, AC Milan remain somewhat adrift from the group vying for Champions League and Europa League qualification. Against Genoa, they are unlikely to adopt a fully aggressive approach, particularly with the hosts expected to set up in a deep, defensive shape.
Genoa
With only one win in their last five league outings, Genoa have edged five points clear of 12th place, while maintaining a six-point cushion above 14th. They currently hold the weakest attacking record among the top 15 clubs in Serie A, managing just 29 goals across 34 matches. In their recent fixtures against Lazio (0:2) and Como 1907 (0:1), Genoa produced a combined xG of only 1.52, underlining their ongoing issues in front of goal as the campaign winds down.
AC Milan
Reaching the Coppa Italia final has provided AC Milan with renewed motivation heading into the closing stages of the season. In their most recent win over Venezia (2:0), winter signing Álex Jiménez ended a long scoring drought dating back to mid-February. AC Milan have registered clean sheets in their last three away matches, winning each of them. A tight, low-scoring victory in Genoa would be seen as a satisfactory result for the visitors.
Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction
Over the course of the season, Genoa have seen Total Over 2.5 goals in only 11 of their 34 matches — the second-lowest tally in Serie A, behind only Torino (10). In the reverse fixture at San Siro, AC Milan were held to a goalless draw (0:0) by the mid-table side, and a similar scenario could unfold on Monday.
