Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Parma are locked in a tense relegation scrap and enter this fixture just two points clear of 18th place — but with a game in hand that could prove crucial. Their visit to Hellas Verona presents a chance to climb further away from danger, especially against a side still struggling to find consistency.
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona possess the league’s worst defence. Despite allowing 46.8 xGA, they’ve shipped 58 goals — a damning figure that speaks volumes about their vulnerability at the back. First-choice keeper Lorenzo Montipò has saved just 60.7% of shots on target, making him one of Serie A’s least effective shot-stoppers. However, it’s not all doom and gloom — Verona remain relatively efficient going forward, scoring 29 times from 29.1 xG.
Parma
Parma, on the other hand, have been more capable in attack. They’ve found the net in 7 of their last 10 league matches. Only one of those games ended in victory. The defensive end continues to haunt them — 49 goals conceded from 50.1 xGA this season, and just one clean sheet in the last 10 outings. They consistently leak goals, even when showing promise in the final third.
Hellas Verona vs Parma Prediction
When these sides met earlier in the campaign, it turned into a shootout, ending 3:2. Since then, neither defence has made noticeable progress — even with changes in the dugout. With both teams desperate for points and showing serious flaws at the back, a goalless draw looks highly unlikely.