Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s historic unbeaten streak came to an end on the last day of summer in a home match against RB Leipzig (2:3). Despite this setback, bookmakers unanimously claim that Hoffenheim stand little chance against Leverkusen — Hoffenheim are plagued by personnel issues, whereas the reigning champions' key players are fit and highly motivated.
Hoffenheim
From the start of this campaign, Hoffenheim have showcased high-scoring football, hitting the total over 2.5 in three consecutive games. Against Holstein Kiel (3:2), the team was propelled to victory by Andrej Kramarić's hat-trick, whereas against Eintracht Frankfurt, the Croatian found the net only once (1:3). While Hoffenheim might hope to outscore their defensive lapses, the 2.69 xGA in Frankfurt highlights their defensive frailties.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's inconsistency in defence was also evident last season. Interestingly, against RB Leipzig, they did not perform badly enough to deserve a loss, as they were more threatening in xG (3.42 vs 1.51). Ahead of the Champions League kick-off, Leverkusen will aim to solidify their position amongst the Bundesliga's best, likely focusing on their formidable attack.
Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Hoffenheim have several injured players (including Grischa Prömel, Ozan Kabak, Finn Ole Becker, and Ihlas Bebou), and three other defenders are in less-than-optimal condition due to minor injuries. Their defence is currently underwhelming, making a strong case for goals from the visitors. Bayer Leverkusen have won the last three head-to-head encounters, scoring a total of eight goals — they know how to breach this opponent.
