Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the FIFA Intercontinental Cup match.
Unlike Real Madrid, who will arrive in Lusail for the final match, Pachuca had to navigate through two rounds of the Intercontinental Cup. The Mexican side confidently overcame Botafogo (3:0) but then had a close call against Egypt's Al-Ahly (1:0 after penalties).
Real Madrid
In their five December outings, Real Madrid secured three victories, scoring 11 goals. In their match against Atalanta (3:2), they saw the return of Vinícius Júnior, who immediately contributed with a goal and an assist. Despite a draw against Rayo Vallecano (3:3), Real Madrid were able to capitalise on Barcelona dropping points, meaning La Liga's title race isn't consuming all their attention. In Lusail, the reigning Champions League winners will field their strongest line-up.
Pachuca
Pachuca have had a disastrous domestic season, finishing 16th with just 13 points in 17 matches. They conceded 29 goals, with only four teams having worse defences. In the Intercontinental Cup, Pachuca defeated Botafogo largely due to the Brazilians' fatigue, who had no rest after their triumph in the Copa Libertadores and Serie A, reflected in the shots count of 12 to 18. Against Al-Ahly, they once again played defensively (3–6 in shots on target), holding on until the penalty shootout.
Real Madrid vs Pachuca Prediction
In the final, Real Madrid will quickly take control of possession, and Pachuca will struggle to keep up with their tempo in the transition phase. The Madrid side will exploit the weaknesses in the Mexicans' defence.