Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Valladolid approach the match as clear underdogs. The hosts sit at the bottom of the table and display weakness in both defence and attack. Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid have hit a rich vein of form, winning their last three encounters. Historically, the Madrid side have performed successfully against Valladolid, and now they have an opportunity to extend this trend.
Valladolid
Valladolid are in deep crisis, having secured victory only twice in 14 games. They possess the weakest defence in the league, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per game. Valladolid also rank poorest offensively, managing just 0.71 goals per match. However, there is some improvement at home, as they have scored in four consecutive games. Still, their record against Atlético Madrid is bleak; the Madrid side have won six of their last seven matches at José Zorrilla.
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid maintain their position in the top three and appear to be emerging from a crisis. They have won three matches on the trot, conceding only once, and that from a penalty. It is unsurprising as they boast the strongest defence in the league, averaging just 0.57 goals conceded per game. Their attack remains solid too, scoring 1.5 goals per match. However, Atlético Madrid tend to play cautiously on the road, not scoring more than a single goal in their last seven away matches, and overall always keeping a total under 2.5. Nevertheless, in away games against Valladolid, they have scored at least twice in six of the last seven occasions.
Valladolid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Atlético Madrid hold a clear advantage in class and consistency. Given Valladolid's defensive frailties and low scoring rate, the likelihood of an away victory appears very high. Atlético Madrid will not allow themselves to drop points against a struggling side, especially considering their current form.
