Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United: Europa League Final Betting Tips and Predictions

On Wednesday, May 21, the Europa League Final will take place at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao, featuring two Premier League giants whose domestic campaigns have fallen flat—Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur.

Tottenham vs Man United: Who Will Win?

Tottenham

19/10

Draw

43/20

Man United

29/20

Let’s break down both teams’ chances and highlight the best betting options.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Betting Odds

Both clubs have stumbled in the Premier League recently, collecting just a single point each over their last five league fixtures. Yet in Europe, they’ve shown a very different face—deservedly earning their spots in the final.

Tottenham have suffered just one defeat throughout the knockout rounds. Meanwhile, Manchester United remain the only unbeaten team in the competition. It’s no wonder the odds are razor-tight, with bookmakers giving only marginal preference to either side when factoring in extra time and penalties. You can bet on Tottenham Hotspur to lift the trophy at 1/1 , while betting odds for Manchester United to get the title are at 3/4

Since the Europa League rebranded in 2009/10, the bookmakers’ favourites have lifted the trophy just 53% of the time—a hit rate that hardly screams reliability. And recent history tells an even more unpredictable tale: since 2020, only one favourite has triumphed in five finals.

Tottenham vs Man United Betting Odds

Tottenham Hotspur Analysis

Although Spurs have been among the Premier League’s most prolific sides this season—and even topped the attacking charts for a time—their sharpness in the final third has recently dulled. They've scored more than one goal just once in their last four matches, and have produced over 1.0 xG only once in their last five outings.

To make matters worse, injuries are piling up again. James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, and promising youngster Lucas Bergvall are all doubts for the final.

Even against a Manchester United defence that has hardly been watertight this season, we’d strongly consider a bet on Tottenham Under 1.5 Goals at 9/20

Tottenham’s injury concerns may work in their favour, as they’re likely to rely on Bissouma for the full 90 minutes—a role he’s thrived in throughout the Europa League campaign. The Malian midfielder has consistently disrupted opposition attacks, completing four full matches in the competition and registering three or more tackles in three of them, including a standout performance in the semifinal first leg against Bodø/Glimt. Across just over six full matches’ worth of action (6.3 90s), he has amassed 18 tackles, won 11 of his 14 duels, and supplemented those numbers with 12 interceptions and 14 clearances. His relentless pressure and defensive instincts make him one of Europe’s elite in ball recovery—ranking in the top 10% for tackles per 90 minutes among midfielders in Europe’s top five leagues.

Yves Bissouma tackles over 3.5

Bonus £30

Bet

6/5

Tottenham Hotspur’s Last 5 Matches

Manchester United Analysis

Manchester United have one man who, more than anyone, has earned the right to lift a trophy—and he's widely seen as their biggest weapon. In the 2024–25 season, Bruno Fernandes has been the most productive midfielder in Europe, tallying an extraordinary 19 goals and 19 assists across all competitions. He’s also United’s designated penalty taker and has been ice-cold from the spot this season—scoring all three of his Premier League penalties and all four in the Europa League.

Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist

Bonus £40

Bet

29/20

United have developed a reputation for their gritty—some might say scrappy—style of play in both domestic and European competitions. They average 11 fouls per game and pick up two yellow cards per match. The standout in that department is holding midfielder Manuel Ugarte, who racks up 1.5 fouls per game and has already received 11 bookings in 29 appearances. In seven of their last eight Premier League games, the Red Devils have collected over 1.5 yellow cards, and they’ve received 10 more bookings than Spurs over the course of the campaign. In both Europa League semi-final legs and the second leg of the quarter-final against Lyon, United were shown three cards per match.

Man United: Yellow cards over 2.5

Bonus £30

Bet

9/10

Manchester United’s Last 5 Matches

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Prediction

The strongest argument in favour of Ange Postecoglou’s men lies in the head-to-head statistics. This season, Spurs have beaten United in all three encounters—twice in the Premier League and once in the domestic cup. As for the idea that the Australian coach tends to win silverware in his second season at a club, we'll leave that in the realm of superstition.

Objectively speaking, Manchester United have been the best team in this season’s Europa League, and they head into the final with their strongest lineup available and key players like Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes hitting form at the right time.

That said, both sides have shown attacking flair throughout the tournament. United, the most prolific team in the competition, have scored in every match. Spurs have failed to score just once—in the first leg against AZ Alkmaar.

But recent Europa League finals tend to be tight affairs. In the last four years, only one final has been decided in regulation time.

Given all of the above, it makes sense to back Manchester United to avoid defeat in 90 minutes, and both teams to score.

Manchester United to win or a Draw + Both Teams to Score

Bonus £50

Bet

3/2

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21 May, 20:00