Abu Dhabi Grand Prix 2025: Prediction and Betting Odds for the Formula One Race
The 2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix takes place from 5 to 7 December at the Yas Marina Circuit. It will be the 24th and final round of the season.
Who will win the 2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
What odds have the bookmakers prepared for the stage in Abu Dhabi? Find the best odds for the racing weekend in our review.
2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Winner Odds
After securing back-to-back victories, Verstappen has cut Norris’ lead to a record-low 12 points. Analysts and fans have since been crunching the numbers non-stop: what are Max’s chances, and what does he need to snatch the 2025 title at the last possible moment?
Given his recent form and the sheer motivation to overturn the standings right at the finish line, it is no surprise bookmakers now view Verstappen as the clear favourite for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
Formula 1 Drivers' Championship Title Betting Odds
One of the most striking predictions ahead of the finale came from a man long regarded as one of the defining figures in Formula 1 history. Bernie Ecclestone is rarely seen in the paddock these days, yet he continues to follow the title fight with genuine interest – and insists he still believes in Max’s potential triumph.
Fans also picked up on Ecclestone’s rather pointed remarks about current championship leader Lando Norris.
One of the few to publicly back Norris ahead of the finale was his close friend Carlos Sainz, although he stressed he did not want to take sides.
Personal standings for the 2025 season and odds to win
|
Driver |
Points |
Odds |
|
Lando Norris |
408 |
7/20
|
|
Max Verstappen |
396 |
5/2
|
|
Oscar Piastri |
392 |
12/1
|
Title permutations for each contender
Moving away from the paddock talk, it is worth focusing on the concrete maths that sets out the title-winning scenarios for all three drivers.
For Max, the permutations hardly look far-fetched. Norris will be laser-focused, but he has stumbled several times already this season, and nerves could still play a part when everything is on the line.
Title permutations for Max Verstappen
|
Max Verstappen |
Lando Norris |
Oscar Piastri |
|---|---|---|
|
1st |
4th or lower |
Does not matter |
|
2nd |
8th or lower |
3rd or lower |
|
3rd |
9th or lower |
2nd or lower |
Norris’ pathway is far more straightforward. A podium finish will seal the title; even with a mistake from Verstappen, fourth place would be enough. And if Max drops out of the top three, Norris is guaranteed the championship.
Title permutations for Lando Norris
|
Lando Norris |
Max Verstappen |
Oscar Piastri |
|---|---|---|
|
1st |
Does not matter |
Does not matter |
|
2nd |
Does not matter |
Does not matter |
|
3rd |
Does not matter |
Does not matter |
|
4th |
2nd or lower |
Does not matter |
|
5th |
2nd or lower |
Does not matter |
|
6th |
2nd or lower |
2nd or lower |
|
7th |
2nd or lower |
2nd or lower |
|
8th |
3rd or lower |
2nd or lower |
|
9th |
4th or lower |
2nd or lower |
|
10th |
4th or lower |
3rd or lower |
|
11th or lower |
4th or lower |
3rd or lower |
Piastri’s situation is the most demanding of the trio. He must win – and also needs Norris to fall to at least sixth. It is the sort of scenario where only an incident might realistically swing things his way.
Oscar Piastri to win the title
|
Oscar Piastri |
Lando Norris |
Max Verstappen |
|---|---|---|
|
1st |
6th or lower |
Does not matter |
|
2nd |
10th or lower |
4th or lower |
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix History
The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is one of the newer additions to the Formula 1 calendar. The inaugural race took place in 2009, with Sebastian Vettel taking victory for Red Bull Racing-Renault.
Lewis Hamilton holds the record for the most wins at Yas Marina with 5, followed by Max Verstappen with 4. Vettel is third with 3.
Red Bull Racing lead the tally for most team victories with 7, Mercedes follow with 6, and McLaren occupy third place with 2.
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Prediction
The dramatic and unpredictable Yas Marina Circuit is the perfect setting for a title showdown involving three contenders. In many ways, it echoes the unforgettable 2010 finale, when Red Bull and Ferrari fans witnessed Fernando Alonso’s tense duel with Vitaly Petrov.
The question now is who becomes the ‘crucial’ second driver capable of ruining the race for one of the title favourites? And perhaps the biggest dilemma of all: will Oscar step aside for Lando if the latter desperately needs track position to save his title, or could Piastri end up handing the crown to Max?
Judging by recent pace, McLaren appear to have resolved their issues. Provided they avoid pit stop errors and do not compromise the race for either driver, Norris and Piastri should enjoy a serious straight-line advantage – enough to fight for the podium.
As for Max, with nothing to lose, he is ready to squeeze every last drop out of a relatively fresh power unit, while his rivals will be reluctant to risk their engines. They trust their pace; but if this season has taught us anything, it is never to write off Verstappen until the chequered flag falls.
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Schedule and Weather Forecast
A hot weekend is expected throughout the event. From Friday to Sunday daytime temperatures will reach 27–29°C, cooling to around 25–26°C in the evenings.
|
When to watch |
Event |
|
December 5, 9.30am on Sky Sports F1 |
Practice One |
|
December 5, 1.00pm on Sky Sports F1 |
Practice Two |
|
December 6, 10.30am on Sky Sports F1 |
Practice Three |
|
December 6, 2.00pm on Sky Sports F1 |
Qualifying |
|
December 7, 1.00pm on Sky Sports F1 |
The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix 2025 |
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