Arsenal’s Quadruple Odds Have Shortened 15-Fold Since the Start of the Season, but the Biggest Tests Are Still to Come

22 March 09:55

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Arsenal have finished one step short of the Premier League title in each of the last three seasons, ending as runners-up every time. They now have a fourth chance to win the league for the first time since 2004, but the closer the campaign gets to its conclusion, the more visible the signs of fatigue become in Mikel Arteta’s side.

How many trophies will Arsenal win in the 2025/26 season?

One

3/1

Two

5/4

Four

13/1

There would be fewer doubts about Arsenal’s ability to squeeze every last drop out of this season and finally reach the title, were it not for the fact they are also being pulled in three other directions. The London club remain alive in three more competitions and still have a genuine chance of winning each of them. That is already having a serious impact both physically and mentally.

Premier League: Arsenal Start to Lose Momentum in Round 32

Last year Arsenal finished second, but there was never much real suspense in the title race. Liverpool were in control throughout the season, and Arsenal were never truly handed an opening.

Arsenal’s first genuine title shot for a long time came in the 2022/23 campaign. The team even ended the calendar year in first place, four points clear of Manchester City, but the fairytale collapsed alarmingly quickly. Mikel Arteta won Manager of the Month five times out of a possible nine, yet his side only had enough in the tank to stay in the fight until round 32. The run in then became a nightmare. In round 33, Arsenal lost the head to head meeting with Manchester City (1:4), and defeats to Brighton and Hove Albion (0:3) and Nottingham Forest (0:1) ended their title hopes for good.

A year later, the story repeated itself, only the ending was even crueller. Arsenal again led the way until round 32, but a single defeat to Aston Villa in that same ill-fated round 33 was enough to send the title back to Manchester City.

This season, the pattern is repeating itself once more. Arsenal are top, and the team began 2026 with a four point lead over Manchester City. Ahead of round 31, that advantage stands at nine points, although the London club have played one game more.

The critical stage of the campaign is already approaching, and even now it is clear Arsenal are trying to conserve energy. The clearest example came against Brighton and Hove Albion in round 29, when the Londoners spent most of the match running down the clock. The game ended 1:0 to the favourites, who used 30 minutes of the match just to restart play.

In the FA Cup, Arsenal also did only what was necessary against League One side Mansfield Town. They won 2:1 while naming a starting line up that featured a noticeable number of fringe players.

Even so, bookmakers believe Arsenal will hold on to top spot this time. They may still wobble again, but their margin for error is strong enough that even defeat in the direct meeting with Manchester City would not be fatal.

In the run-in, Arsenal have only one potentially difficult league match left, away to Manchester City on 19 April. Aside from that, it is all in their own hands. It will not be easy, but against teams such as Fulham, West Ham United and Burnley, the main danger is Arsenal beating themselves.

One defining feature of Arsenal as a top club is that they do not rely on one out-and-out goalscorer. Currently, the leading scorer is Viktor Gyokeres with 10 goals, but Eberechi Eze and Bukayo Saka, with 5 each, plus Leandro Trossard and Martin Zubimendi, also with 5 each, have all made a huge contribution to the team’s wins.

The lack of a single dominant attacking figure could even work in Arsenal’s favour, especially with such a demanding schedule at the business end of the season. At Manchester City, Erling Haaland has 22 goals, while his nearest challenger, Phil Foden, has just 7. And what happens when Manchester City’s main man has an off day was there for all to see at the Santiago Bernabeu in the Champions League.

This year Arsenal have also been helped by the fact their title rivals keep dropping points themselves. Manchester City’s draw with Nottingham Forest in round 29, when they had the chance to cut the gap to first place, was a perfect example. And the reigning champions still have matches to come against Chelsea and Aston Villa before the end of the season.

Domestic Cups: Distraction or the Only Realistic Route to Silverware?

Alongside the Premier League title race, Arsenal also have a shot at two more domestic trophies. The FA Cup is hardly unfamiliar territory for the club, who have lifted it seven times in the 21st century alone. Three rounds have already been negotiated and only three remain, while the fixture list is kind to the Londoners for now, because their next opponents come from the Championship, where Southampton are only fighting for a place in the promotion play-offs.

As for the EFL Cup, there is no longer any point calling it a distraction. Only the final against Manchester City remains. It is unclear how Arteta will approach it. He may treat it as a chance to show Manchester City in advance that there will be no domestic trophies for them this season, or he may be more cautious and reluctant to reveal all his cards before the league meeting.

Arsenal to win the EFL Cup

Bonus £30

Bet

13/20

Champions League: All or Nothing

Arsenal did everything right to avoid extra Champions League matches in February. The team won all eight games in the league phase and conceded only four goals. In the round of 16 they were drawn against Bayer Leverkusen, a tie they came through with authority. After a draw in Germany, the English side left their opponents with no chance in London and won 2:0.

Arsenal to reach the Champions League final

Bonus £30

Bet

91/100

In the Champions League quarter-final, Arsenal will face Sporting CP, which looks like the best draw they could have hoped for. Even so, throwing everything at Europe always carries the risk of surrendering their advantage in the Premier League, and that has happened to the London club in recent seasons.

Bookmakers Believe in Arsenal’s Quadruple More than in a Total Collapse

The boldest Arsenal supporters, or simply punters chasing a big price, can back an accumulator on the London club to win all four trophies, and the odds are surprisingly low for such a bet at 14/1

More battle hardened Arsenal fans may prefer the angle that the club will once again end the season without a single trophy, priced at 20/1

As you can see, the experts believe in Arsenal’s triumph more than in a complete collapse. The odds on an Arsenal quadruple has shortened 15-fold since the start of the season, when the Londoners were available at 251.00 to win four trophies, and it is still coming in. Will Arteta’s magic finally deliver?

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