Joshua vs Paul Prediction and Betting Odds

YouTube creator Jake Paul is set to face heavyweight boxer Anthony Joshua. Their eight-round heavyweight contest will take place on 19 December at Kaseya Center in Miami, USA.

Who will win the fight?

Joshua

1/10

Paul

8/1

Below is a breakdown of the odds, predictions, and an exclusive preview for the Joshua vs Paul fight.

Joshua vs Paul Betting Odds

This time even the boldest pundits, usually on the lookout for boxing upsets, stopped short of calling Jake Paul the favourite. Stepping in with a huge, fully active top-tier heavyweight is a very different challenge to beating wrestlers or veterans like Tyson. Paul’s odds to win are 61/10

Joshua vs Paul odds

For Anthony Joshua this is a golden chance to reset his career and move on from that painful knockout defeat in his last outing. He is widely expected to deal with a YouTuber without much fuss and restore some order in world boxing for his fans. Joshua to win is priced at 1/10

Statistics and Physical Data

Anthony Joshua

• Former WBA Super, WBO, IBF and IBO heavyweight champion. Recipient of an Order of the British Empire.

• 32 fights, 28 wins, 4 defeats.

Anthony Joshua to win

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Bet

1/10

In September 2024 Joshua’s fanbase witnessed arguably the lowest point of his career. Even the defeats to Oleksandr Usyk and Andy Ruiz did not feel as crushing and hopeless as the beating he took from Daniel Dubois, a fighter many analysts had badly underestimated.

The aura of invincibility has long evaporated, but Joshua remains a hugely dangerous active heavyweight who, much like Tommy Fury, has all the tools to put Jake Paul back in his place. And his biggest advantage here isn’t just class — it is the sheer difference in size.

Joshua needs to rediscover the style people fell in love with: working behind the jab, controlling range, refusing to trade recklessly and keeping Paul at distance for as long as possible.

The blogger will lean on what has always worked for him — winging overhands in endless clusters, hoping one wild shot eventually lands clean. Joshua must remember to protect the chin that abandoned him in his last fight.

Joshua’s last 5 fights

Jake Paul

• American actor and video blogger. Rose to fame on Vine and via collaborations with his older brother Logan Paul. Made his professional boxing debut in 2020.

• 13 fights, 12 wins, 1 defeat.

Jake Paul to win

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Bet

7/1

The cancelled fight with Gervonta Davis clearly frustrated Paul, who was eager and motivated. But this time he stunned the boxing world again. Instead of an ageing Mike Tyson or a much smaller Gervonta Davis, he called out one of the most dangerous heavyweights on the planet.

And of course the smartest thing he could do was to put on more size. Given that he has never undergone proper anti-doping testing before any of his fights, no one doubts he’ll bulk up effortlessly.

Looking at his current pictures, it’s hard to recognise the soft-featured blogger from six or seven years ago. Now he resembles a heavyweight who can’t quite step above amateur level.

Paul’s issue is that in the past few years his only remotely respectable opponent was Mike Perry — followed by an oxygen-tank-dependent Tyson and one of the most “incorruptible” boxers of the era, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Chavez “boxed” to such an extent that he apparently forgot he was allowed to throw punches back at Jake.

Paul’s last 5 fights 

Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul Prediction

Whenever Jake Paul appears on a boxing poster, fans have one simple question: are we about to see another behind-the-scenes scripted event?

And yes, as soon as analysts defended Paul’s fights with Tyron Woodley, fate handed us the lifeless Chavez Jr., who looked like he was counting down seconds until that embarrassing spectacle finally ended.

Will there be some level of “arrangement” with Joshua? It’s not impossible. A minimal fight script could involve a Joshua win, even if not by a brutal knockout. This matchup serves two clear purposes for both men.

For Joshua a win revives his career and restarts conversations about real rematches. For Jake, even in defeat — most likely by decision — he could again, just as he did against Tommy Fury, tell critics he can hang with elite boxers who still haven’t managed to stop him.

Even without considering any potential “script”, it’s easy to imagine a cautious, focused Joshua methodically breaking the blogger down behind a relentless jab. Paul will likely answer with aggressive bursts and clinches in the opening three rounds, but if he fails to shake Joshua early, he should fade badly and drop every remaining round, his cardio simply not up to the task.

Let’s be honest — imagining a scenario where Joshua loses is almost impossible. And if it somehow happens, the former champion may as well hang up the gloves immediately and never speak of legacy again.

Anthony Joshua to win by decision

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Bet

5/1

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