Bakhram Murtazaliev vs Josh Kelly Prediction and Betting Odds
IBF super welterweight champion Bakhram Murtazaliev is set to defend his title against Josh Kelly. The bout will take place on 31 January at Newcastle Arena in Newcastle upon Tyne, England.
Who will win the fight?
Below is a breakdown of the odds, predictions, and an exclusive preview for the Kelly vs Murtazaliev fight.
Murtazaliev vs Kelly Betting Odds
Bookmakers are firmly backing the Russian champion, who not only boasts superior technical ability but also a clear edge in knockout power. Murtazaliev is riding strong momentum, and this shapes up as the toughest test of the Englishman’s career so far. Odds on a Murtazaliev win stand at
1/4
Murtazaliev vs Kelly Odds
Kelly will be banking on speed and reflexes, but it is hard to argue that Bakhram is inferior in either department. This fight represents a genuine step up in class for the Brit. A bet on Kelly to win is priced at
3/1
Statistics and Physical Data
Murtazaliev is 5 cm taller than Kelly, while the rest of their physical attributes are broadly similar.
|
Bakhram Murtazaliev |
|
Josh Kelly |
|
23 |
Fights |
19 |
|
23 |
Wins |
17 |
|
0 |
Losses |
1 |
|
0 |
Draws/ Missed |
1 |
|
183 |
Height |
178 |
|
183 |
Reach |
183 |
|
69,30 |
Weight |
72,20 |
|
33 |
Age |
31 |
Bakhram Murtazaliev
-
Reigning IBF world champion. Champion of Eurasia and the United States. Boxing Champion of the Republic of Kazakhstan
-
23 fights, 23 wins, 0 losses.
With his victory over Tim Tszyu, Murtazaliev proved he is ready to face higher-level opposition, and that his knockout power should never be underestimated. The time has come for the next stage of his career, but first he must halt a rising British contender who will not allow Bakhram into the elite without a serious fight.
Murtazaliev is likely to deploy a brutal double jab to slow Kelly down and force him into a defensive shell. He will target the body with heavy hooks, pushing the Brit backwards and claiming control of the centre of the ring.
Expect Bakhram to throw plenty of two- and three-punch combinations, looking to break through the guard before unloading a crushing overhand. He will favour mid-range exchanges, where he can land power shots without exposing himself to Kelly’s clinch work.
Murtazaliev’s last 5 Fights
|
Date |
Opponent |
Result |
Method | |
|
October 19, 2024 |
Tim Tszyu |
Win |
TKO | |
|
April 6, 2024 |
Jack Culcay |
Win |
KO | |
|
December 17, 2022 |
Roberto Valenzuela Jr. |
Win |
Unanimous Decision | |
|
March 26, 2022 |
Ahmad Cheikho |
Win |
TKO | |
|
July 17, 2021 |
Khiary Gray |
Win |
Unanimous Decision | |
Josh Kelly
-
WBO Intercontinental welterweight champion. Two-time Olympic Games participant.
-
19 fights, 17 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw.
Kelly has the Olympic rings tattooed on his body, a fitting symbol given that his style still reflects his amateur-school foundations. That said, do not expect the Brit to shy away from exchanges or concede all the space to Murtazaliev. When required, Kelly can fully commit, even if his record does not feature many stoppages.
His key weapon will be combination work at close range, followed by quick exits to a safe distance. A sharp check hook should help him disrupt Murtazaliev’s forward pressure while also measuring range for his own attacks.
Kelly will constantly slip shots and dip low, firing unpredictable punches from angles and underneath. If he feels the exchanges becoming too intense, he will tighten up defensively, use lateral movement and rely on a compact elbow guard for protection.
Kelly’s last 5 Fights
|
Date |
Opponent |
Result |
Method |
|
June 6, 2025 |
Flavius Biea |
Win |
KO |
|
September 21, 2024 |
Ishmael Davis |
Win |
Majority Decision |
|
December 16, 2023 |
Placido Ramirez |
Win |
KO |
|
July 15, 2023 |
Gabriel Corzo |
Win |
Unanimous Decision |
|
December 2, 2022 |
Troy Williamson |
Win |
Unanimous Decision |
Bakhram Murtazaliev vs Josh Kelly Prediction
Given the technical level of both fighters, an early knockout seems unlikely, especially with neither man keen to be caught out by a mistake. Murtazaliev will certainly look to land a few punishing overhands, but it is doubtful he will go headhunting from the opening rounds.
Bakhram is more likely to methodically break his opponent down, threading heavy crosses through the guard and whipping in powerful hooks from both sides. Kelly, in turn, will aim to avoid the most dangerous attacks and respond with sharp, fast combinations up close, which could test the champion’s composure.
Both fighters are mobile and will regularly switch distances, using the full dimensions of the ring. Neither will allow the other to fully impose their preferred style, so if a stoppage does come, it is more likely to arrive late in the contest.
Prediction: Bakhram Murtazaliev to win.
Frequently Asked Questions
The IBF super welterweight world title fight is expected to begin at around 17:00 London time on 31 January at Newcastle Arena in Newcastle upon Tyne, England.
Bookmakers expect the Russian to come out on top. Odds on Murtazaliev to win are 1.30, while Kelly is priced at 4.00.
Bakhram matches Kelly technically and clearly surpasses him in knockout power. He should control the exchanges with heavy shots and gradually steer the fight towards a late stoppage in the 12-round contest.
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