Next Premier League Manager To Be Sacked Odds: Frank, Slot or Parker?
The first half of the 2025/26 Premier League season has already seen several managerial casualties. Nuno Espirito Santo was the first to lose his job, dismissed by Nottingham Forest on 8 September. Just a month later, his successor Ange Postecoglou also departed the club. Graham Potter was sacked by West Ham United at the end of September, while the most recent change came in early November, when Vitor Pereira left Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Next Premier League manager to be sacked
Several managers look at serious risk of losing their jobs before the New Year, or even before Christmas. Below, we break down the leading candidates according to the bookmakers.
Frank has completely failed at Tottenham Hotspur
The standout favourite in the betting markets and among analysts alike. In six months at Tottenham Hotspur, Thomas Frank has not only failed to deliver progress but has undone much of what was previously working. The club’s regression compared to last season is clear for all to see.
Tottenham Hotspur's Premier League Stats: 2024/25 vs 2025/26
|
Metrics |
Premier League 2024/25 |
Premier League 2025/26 |
|
Dangerous chances |
2,6 |
1,8 |
|
Possession |
54,8% |
53,1% |
|
Duels won |
48,5% |
48,4% |
|
Average shots per game |
13,1 |
9,6 |
Unlike Ange Postecoglou, who spent two years battling an injury crisis and ongoing tension with Daniel Levy, Frank arrived with every advantage. The outcome so far has been just 22 points from 16 matches and 11th place in the table. In the Champions League, results have been slightly more encouraging, with Tottenham Hotspur sitting 11th after six matches and still in contention for the play-offs.
However, the lack of tangible improvement on the pitch, combined with the recent 0:3 defeat to Nottingham Forest, has shifted the balance firmly against Frank. There is little doubt that the upcoming home match against Liverpool and the away trip to Crystal Palace will be decisive. Two defeats would almost certainly end the Dane’s tenure.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool, 20.12
Parker has two games to save his job
Scott Parker took over at Burnley following Vincent Kompany’s departure and excelled in guiding the club back to the Premier League. Burnley collected 100 points in the Championship, missing out on the title only on tie-breakers.
Despite spending 107 million on summer transfers, life back in the Premier League has been grim. Three wins, one draw and 12 defeats leave Burnley second from bottom, and bookmakers are in little doubt that relegation back to the Championship awaits.
After a shaky start, Parker appeared to tighten things up defensively and find balance in midfield, building the team around former Manchester United player Hannibal Mejbri. October brought some promise, including a competitive 1:2 defeat to Aston Villa, followed by back-to-back wins over Leeds United (2:0) and Wolverhampton Wanderers (3:2).
Momentum did not last. A run of seven consecutive defeats wiped out any remaining goodwill with fans and the board, and Parker has reportedly been given two matches to turn things around. According to reports, failure to collect a single point against Bournemouth and Everton would result in his dismissal. With Everton in strong form, Parker’s future may hinge on the trip to the Vitality Stadium.
Slot: on-pitch issues and a fallout with Salah
Arne Slot’s Liverpool this season resemble a Merseyside side nursing a hangover. Riding the high of a strong previous campaign, the club spent heavily, but the logic of those signings has since been questioned. Of all the arrivals, only Hugo Ekitike has truly justified his price tag, scoring seven goals in 15 league games.
Matters were not helped by a public falling-out with Mohamed Salah. The winger has struggled for form himself, yet his unusually sharp comments about the team and Slot reflected the mood inside the club. The issue was eventually defused, with the board backing the manager and Salah returning to the squad, albeit from the bench. Still, the episode left a lingering sense of unease.
With Liverpool’s owners firmly behind Slot, his credit in the bank has not yet run out. That said, the first half of the season raises concerns. Seventh place by the end of the year, six defeats and poor results against top-four rivals Manchester City and Chelsea underline the doubts.
Results have stabilised somewhat, with Liverpool unbeaten in five matches across all competitions. Even so, performances and tactical decisions continue to divide opinion, and bookmakers believe Slot cannot be ruled out of the sack race.
Daniel Farke and Enzo Maresca under pressure
Daniel Farke’s future was a hot topic even in the summer, remarkably just after Leeds United secured promotion to the Premier League. The board were unhappy with his comments regarding the club’s lack of competitiveness, but ultimately opted to stick with the German.
Speculation intensified after a run of four defeats in November, yet Leeds United responded by beating Chelsea (3:1) and drawing 3:3 with Liverpool, easing the immediate pressure. The start of the new year looks challenging, however, with fixtures against Liverpool, Manchester United and Newcastle United. Those matches could yet force the club to consider alternatives such as Ange Postecoglou.
Chelsea had briefly stepped out of the managerial spotlight following Enzo Maresca’s appointment, but not for long. The Italian surprisingly accused the board of a lack of support, calling it the toughest period of his time at the club.
Those comments came amid a poor run in early December. After a 3:0 win over Barcelona, Chelsea went four matches without a victory before finally beating Everton (2:0) in their most recent league outing. Maresca declined to elaborate further, but the club’s owners are known for their intolerance of such public outbursts. Still, with Chelsea firmly in the race for a top-four finish and alive in the Champions League, drastic action seems unlikely for now.
There is also a growing tactical concern at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea continue to alternate strong displays with heavy disappointments, while Maresca has become increasingly cautious, limiting the attacking freedom of his players. In the defeat to Atalanta, for instance, Chelsea finished the match with a Marc Cucurella-Moisés Caicedo-Reece James-Malo Gusto square in advanced positions, while Estevao Willian and Andrey Santos remained unused substitutes.
The dark horse: Keith Andrews
Keith Andrews was a leading candidate for dismissal just a month after his appointment. He replaced Thomas Frank at Brentford with virtually no senior managerial experience. Reports suggested the club never viewed Andrews as a long-term solution but were unable to attract a more established name.
Opinion on the Irishman remains divided. There have been eye-catching wins over Liverpool (3:2) and Manchester United (3:1), but also heavy defeats against Crystal Palace (0:2) and Fulham (1:3). Brentford currently sit 15th, seven points clear of the relegation zone.
With the club winning just once in their last five matches, rumours of a potential change ahead of the January transfer window have resurfaced. Much of the criticism centres on Andrews’ inexperience and the availability of higher-profile managers such as Erik ten Hag, Brendan Rodgers and Ange Postecoglou. Should Thomas Frank be dismissed, an awkward return scenario cannot be ruled out.
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