Odds overview
France are clear favourites: France to win is offered at 1.47, while Turkey to win is around 6.70 and the draw is 4.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.50 looks noticeably more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.45. In the handicap market, Turkey (+1.5) at 1.65 is shorter than France (-1.5) at 2.15.
Why France are match favourites
The bookmakers give the visitors the edge: France to win is rated at odds of 1.47 (65.0% probability before margin), the draw is offered at 4.60 and a Turkey victory at 6.70.
- France regularly create chances in attack: the team have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- The visitors' squad is backed by a strong attacking group — Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, Désiré Doué and Rayan Cherki were included in the September squad.
- For our Both teams to score bet, the visitors' status as favourites is useful: France apply pressure in attack, forcing the hosts to respond and leave space.
Form and Line-up Turkey
In their most recent match, Turkey beat the United States 3:2. The team are showing strong attacking output: in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, Turkish players found the opposition net.
At the same time, matches involving Turkey rarely feature an extremely aggressive first half: in all of their last 10 matches across all competitions, no more than three goals were scored before half-time.
- Turkey's opponents have scored under 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- At least one goal has been scored in the last 10 matches involving Turkey across all competitions.
- No more than four goals have been scored in 8 of the last 10 matches involving Turkey across all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Uğurcan Çakır, Zeki Celik, Ozan Kabak, Abdülkerim Bardakcı, Eren Elmalı, Salih Özcan, Orkun Kökçü, Oğuz Aydın, Arda Güler, Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Barış Alper Yılmaz
Form and Line-up France
The upcoming game will be Zinédine Zidane's debut in charge of France after a major reshuffle of the coaching staff. In their most recent match, France lost to England 4:6, underlining how high-scoring their games have been: at least two goals were recorded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- France have taken at least four corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- At least eight corners have been taken in 9 of the last 10 away matches involving France across all competitions.
- In 8 of France's last 10 away matches across all competitions, their opponents committed no more than 13 fouls.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan, Jules Koundé, Dayot Upamecano, Maxence Lacroix, Andy Diouf, Eduardo Camavinga, Adrien Rabiot, Michael Olise, Rayan Cherki, Désiré Doué, Kylian Mbappé
Team chances
Turkey to win is available at 6.70, with fair odds of 7.01 and a probability of 14.3%; the draw is 4.60, 4.82 and 20.8%. France to win at 1.47 has fair odds of 1.54 and a probability of 65.0%, confirming France's status as favourites.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability before margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey to win | 6.70 | 7.01 | 14.3% |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.82 | 20.8% |
| France to win | 1.47 | 1.54 | 65.0% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.50 is quoted noticeably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.45. On the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 at 1.65 is preferable, while Over 3.5 is available at 2.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
France (-1.5) is offered at 2.15, while Turkey (+1.5) is 1.65. On the 1 line, France (-1) is 1.70 versus 2.13 for Turkey (+1). With a handicap line of 0, France (0) at 1.15 is quoted much shorter than Turkey (0) at 4.50.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.15 | |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.70 | |
| 2.13 | 1 | |
| 4.50 | 0 | 1.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.67 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.15: the market more often expects goals from both teams, while the second option implies that at least one side will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.67 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/4
|
9/50
|
11/100
|
| William Hill |
81/50
|
1/5
|
3/25
|
| 888sport |
81/50
|
1/5
|
3/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Turkey — 1 goal, France — 2 goals.
Turkey team total
Turkey team total: Over 0.5 at 1.55 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.40. On the 1 line, Under 1 at 1.57 is preferable to Over 1 at 2.35, and on the 1.5 line Under 1.5 at 1.25 is noticeably shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1 | 2.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
France team total
France team total: Over 0.5 at 1.04 is substantially shorter than Under 0.5 at 7.90. On the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 at 1.45 is shorter than Under 1.5 at 2.65; on the 2 line, Over 2 at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2 at 2.00. On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 at 1.57 is preferable, while Over 2.5 is 2.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 2.00 | 2 | 1.75 |
| 1.57 | 2.5 | 2.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 11 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.8;
Matches with red cards – 4 of 11;
Matches with penalties – 5 of 11.
