Sweden vs Romania: prediction & betting odds 25 September 2026

Odds overview

Sweden are clear favourites: the home win is available at 1.50, while the draw and Romania win are quoted at around 4.60 and 6.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. Sweden (-1) at 1.80 looks more likely than Romania (+1) at 2.00.

Why Sweden are favourites for the match

The bookmakers favour the hosts: Sweden to win is available at 1.50, the draw at 4.60 and Romania to win at 6.00.

• Sweden have shown strong attacking consistency, scoring at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• The visitors' defensive numbers are notably weaker: Romania's opponents have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches.
• Sweden are unbeaten against Romania in their last three competitive matches.

Form and Line-up Sweden

In their last competitive match, on 30 June 2026, Sweden ended their World Cup campaign with a 0:3 defeat to France in the Round of 32.

Sweden were flawless in the UEFA Nations League — finishing first in League C with 16 points (a 19:4 goal difference).

• Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Sweden's last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Sweden have taken at least 4 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
• Sweden have received no more than 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.

Probable Sweden line-up (3-5-2): Viktor Johansson, Elliot Stroud, Carl Starfelt, Victor Lindelöf, Emil Holm, Lucas Bergvall, Jesper Karlström, Yasin Ayari, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Viktor Gyökeres, Alexander Isak.

Absentees: Anthony Elanga, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Isak Hien, Jacob Widell Zetterström (all injured).

Form and Line-up Romania

Romania lost to Turkey in the 2026 World Cup play-offs (0:1), then played three friendlies, losing to Slovakia (0:2), drawing with Georgia (1:1) and beating Romania (2:1). Gheorghe Hagi is preparing the national team for the new UEFA Nations League campaign and has named a squad for the tournament's first four matches. Romania's last UEFA Nations League campaign ended quite successfully — they finished first in League C with a perfect record (six wins, a goal difference of 18:3).

• At least two goals have been scored in 8 of Romania's last 10 matches in all competitions.
• At least 8 corners have been recorded in 8 of Romania's last 10 away matches in all competitions.
• Romania have not received more yellow cards than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.

Probable Romania line-up (4-3-3): Andrei Radu, Andrei Rațiu, Radu Drăgușin, Andrei Burcă, Nicusor Bancu, Răzvan Marin, Ianis Hagi, Vlad Dragomir, Dennis Man, Daniel Bîrligea, Valentin Mihăilă.

Absentees: Florinel Coman (doubtful).

Team chances

The home win is quoted at 1.50; the fair odds are 1.58 and the probability is 63.4%. The figures for the draw are 4.60, 4.83 and 20.7%, while for the away win they are 6.00, 6.30 and 15.9% respectively: the market rates a Sweden win considerably more highly.

Total goals prediction

At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At 3.5, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.53 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.45.

Handicap prediction

Sweden (-1.5) at 2.30 is quoted longer than Romania (+1.5) at 1.58. At the -1 line, Sweden (-1) is available at 1.80 and Romania (+1) at 2.00. With a level handicap, Sweden Draw No Bet at 1.17 is considerably more favoured than Romania Draw No Bet at 4.15.

Both teams to score prediction

Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.72 and is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.05; the market is more likely to expect goals from both teams.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	13/100	17/100	7/4
William Hill	7/50	11/50	29/20
888sport	3/25	1/5	81/50

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team total prediction

For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sweden — 2 goals, Romania — 0.5 goals.

Sweden team total

Sweden team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 7.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.05; at the 1.5 line, they are 2.45 and 1.50 respectively. At the 2 line, Under 2 goals is quoted at 1.82 and Over 2 goals at 1.93, while at 2.5, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.47 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.60.

Romania team total

Romania team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.57. At the 1 line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.55 versus 2.35 for Over 1 goal, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is 1.25 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.45.