Edwards vs Prates Prediction and Betting Odds

Fourth-ranked welterweight Leon Edwards will face the number nine contender Carlos Prates at UFC 322. The bout takes place on 15 November at Madison Square Garden in New York, USA.

Who will win the fight?

Prates

11/20

Edwards

8/5

Below is a breakdown of the odds, predictions, and an exclusive preview for the Edwards vs Prates fight.

Edwards vs Prates Betting Odds

Bookmakers are siding with the Brazilian, who looks to be entering his prime. Prates has the edge in reach and carries supreme confidence in his knockout power. A bet on Prates to win is priced at 1/2

Edwards vs Prates Odds

Leon Edwards, on the other hand, has endured a run of disappointing performances. While he hasn’t completely lost his form, he’s looked far from convincing against elite opposition. Mentally, he no longer resembles the champion who once ruled the division. You can back Edwards to win at 8/5

Statistics and Physical Data

Edwards is 3 cm taller, but Prates holds a 10 cm reach advantage, which results in the Brazilian having a clear edge in size and range.

Leon Edwards

• Former UFC welterweight champion. Former BAMMA welterweight champion. Two-time UFC Performance of the Night winner. Holds the second-longest winning streak in UFC welterweight history.

• 28 fights, 22 wins, 5 losses, 1 no contest.

Leon Edwards to win

Bonus £20

Bet

8/5

Once Edwards dethroned the seemingly unbeatable Kamaru Usman, but he never managed to establish himself as a dominant champion. He first slipped against Belal Muhammad, then lost to Sean Brady by submission after being outworked in every round. Now, Edwards desperately needs a statement win to regain his confidence and avoid sliding into the “former star” category.

Leon will look to set up takedown entries behind his jab-cross combination, mixing in body kicks to disrupt the Brazilian’s power rhythm. Expect feints, level changes, and a patient approach to avoid wild exchanges.

He’ll aim to time one of Prates’ low kicks, shoot for the takedown, and control from top position by trapping his legs and transitioning to back control. Should Prates scramble to his feet, Edwards will punish him with knees in the clinch before attempting another takedown.

Edwards’ last 5 Fights

Carlos Prates

• Former SFT welterweight champion. Four-time UFC Performance of the Night winner.
  

• 29 fights, 22 wins, 7 losses.

Carlos Prates to win

Bonus £40

Bet

11/20

After a setback against Ian Garry, Prates bounced back and earned the chance to face a former champion. A win here would confirm his place among the top contenders, and crucially, his fan-friendly knockout style is exactly what the UFC brass love. Prates himself asked for this fight, which means his team have likely been studying Edwards for some time.

The Brazilian will use constant movement and single-shot strikes to catch Edwards as he advances. He’ll punish any forward pressure with sharp low kicks and mix in uppercuts if Leon dips too low.

When Edwards retreats, Prates will look to close the distance with body kicks or spinning attacks to the midsection. At mid-range, he’ll switch back to crisp, short boxing combinations. His key goal will be to stay mobile and avoid prolonged clinches that could lead to takedowns.

Prates’ last 5 Fights

Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates Prediction

Expect Prates to take control early while Edwards adjusts to the range. The Brazilian should edge ahead on the scorecards, preventing Leon from closing the distance and completing clean takedowns. Edwards, however, could turn things around through fight IQ and tactical adaptation.

Leon will likely figure out Prates’ takedown defence timing and begin closing the distance more effectively, landing in-close combinations and using clinch control or top pressure to tilt the momentum.

Edwards’ standing defence will also pose a problem for Carlos; the former champion is adept at avoiding unnecessary exposure, which will force Prates to initiate the exchanges himself. Leon has a genuine chance of victory, and his odds today are quite generous.

Leon Edwards to win

Bonus £30

Bet

8/5

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