UEFA Nations League: betting preview, winner odds, fixtures & table
The 2026/27 season marks the fifth edition of the UEFA Nations League, with 54 UEFA national teams competing across four leagues. The league phase runs from 24 September to 17 November 2026. The League A quarter-finals will take place in March 2027, with the finals scheduled for 9–13 June 2027. Portugal are the defending champions, having beaten Spain on penalties in the 2025 final.
UEFA Nations League winner odds
Only the 16 League A teams can win the trophy. They are split into four groups of four, seeded on the 2024/25 final ranking. Each side plays six matches, home and away, across September, October and November 2026.
The top two teams in each group reach the quarter-finals, played over two legs in March 2027. The four quarter-final winners meet at the June 2027 finals. France and Spain are the two shortest-priced favourites.
The table below sets out the UEFA Nations League betting odds to win the league outright, with prices from bet365.
Top 5 Favourites to Win the Nations League
|
Team |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
France |
11/4
|
|
Spain |
3/1
|
|
Germany |
9/2
|
|
England |
9/2
|
|
Portugal |
8/1
|
France
France head the outright market at 11/4 with bet365 and 10bet. They were drawn in Group A1 alongside Italy, Belgium and Turkey. France won the 2021 Nations League and start as the top seeds in their group.
Spain
Spain are the second favourites at 3/1. They sit in Group A3 with Croatia, England and the Czech Republic. Spain reached the last two Nations League finals, winning in 2023 and losing to Portugal in 2025.
Portugal
Portugal are the defending champions and are priced at 8/1. They were drawn in Group A4 with Denmark, Norway and Wales. Jorge Jesus took over as head coach after the 2026 World Cup.
Germany
Germany are 9/2 to win the title. They share Group A2 with the Netherlands, Serbia and Greece. Germany reached the 2025 final, losing to Portugal in the semi-finals before beating France in the third-place play-off.
Netherlands
The Netherlands are 12/1, just outside the top five. They face Germany, Serbia and Greece in Group A2. A top-two finish would send the Dutch through to the quarter-finals.
England back in League A: Group A3 betting
England return to League A after winning promotion from League B in 2024/25. They were drawn in Group A3 with Spain, Croatia and the Czech Republic. At 9/2 outright, England are joint-third favourites to win the tournament with bet365 and 10bet.
England’s realistic group aim is a top-two finish, which books a quarter-final in March 2027. Spain are the group’s clear favourites, so the runner-up spot may be the value target for England.
Croatia
Croatia are England’s most experienced group rival, priced at 50/1 outright with 10bet. They were the 2023 Nations League runners-up, losing that final to Spain on penalties. Croatia will target second place behind Spain.
Czech Republic
The Czech Republic are the outsider of Group A3 at 150/1 outright with 10bet. They earned promotion from League B in 2024/25. Avoiding the relegation play-off is a realistic aim.
England’s group outlook
England have the squad depth to finish in the top two, but Spain set a high bar. A quarter-final place looks within reach; topping Group A3 is the harder task against the 2023 and 2025 finalists.
Group A3 outright Nations League odds
|
Team |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Spain |
3/1
|
|
England |
9/2
|
|
Croatia |
50/1
|
|
Czech Republic |
150/1
|
