AEK Larnaca vs Partizan: prediction & betting odds 10 July 2025

The first leg of the 2025/26 Europa League First Qualifying Round between AEK Larnaca (Cyprus) and Partizan (Serbia) will take place on July 10 at the AEK Arena. AEK Larnaca vs. Partizan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

AEK Larnaca

The team clinched the Cyprus Cup last season, earning them a spot in the Europa League. AEK Larnaca has participated in this tournament seven times, advancing through qualification twice but falling at the group stage on both occasions. Last year, the club competed in the Conference League, where they were eliminated in the second qualifying round by Hungarian side Paksi (0-3, 0-2).


Head coach Henning Berg left the team at the end of June. A week ago, Imanol Idiakez, who has managed AEK twice before, was appointed as the new head coach.


  • The Cypriots have scored in their last 10 home games in the Europa League.
  • The team has conceded in their previous eight European matches.
  • In 7 of AEK's last 10 matches in this tournament, both teams have scored at least once.

Predicted lineup for AEK Larnaca (4-3-3)

Zlatan Alomerovic – Elohor Ekpolo, Jeremy Gnali, Hrvoje Milicevic, Valentin Roberge – Pere Pons, Luis Gustavo, Marcus Rohden – Enzo Cabrera, Waldo Rubio, Yerson Chacon.

Partizan

The club secured their place in the Europa League by finishing second in the Serbian Championship. They have participated in this European competition 13 times, reaching the group stage on six occasions. Their best performance came in the 2017/18 season when they reached the Europa League Round of 32. Last season, Partizan had a disappointing European campaign, beginning in the Champions League second qualifying round but failing to even reach the main draw of the Conference League.


  • The team has lost 5 of their last 7 away matches in European competitions.
  • Partizan has conceded in 8 of their previous 9 Europa League encounters.
  • In 10 of their last 13 away games in European competitions, the club has scored at least one goal.

Predicted lineup for Partizan (4-4-2)

Marko Milosevic – Mateja Milovanovic, Mario Jurcevic, Vukasin Djurdjevic, Milan Roganovic – Janis Karabelejev, Milan Vukotic, Vanja Dragojevic, Ognjen Ugresic – Jovan Milosevic, Nemanja Trifunovic.

Referee

Jakob Carlsen (Denmark)


Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;

Average yellow cards per match – 5;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 17%.

Match Prediction: AEK Larnaca vs. Partizan

The teams have previously met in the Europa League qualification during the 2022/23 season. The match in Cyprus ended with a 2-1 victory for the hosts, and the second leg concluded in a 2-2 draw. Additionally, in 5 of AEK's last 6 home matches in this tournament, the "Both Teams to Score – Yes" bet was successful. I believe the Cypriots have a good chance of scoring in this game as well. The team has scored in 14 of their last 16 home matches in European competitions, while their upcoming opponent has conceded in eight consecutive matches in these tournaments.


Partizan had a poor European campaign last season. The team often lost but consistently scored on the road, finding the net at least once in 10 of their last 13 away matches on the international stage. Meanwhile, AEK has defensive issues, conceding in their last eight European matches. Notably, in 6 of Partizan's last 8 away Europa League matches, both teams have scored.


Considering the teams' performances in European competitions and their head-to-head history, my prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes

AEK Larnaca — Partizan betting tips 10 July 2025

Partizan Belgrade are unlikely to reach their full potential away to AEK Larnaca, as they will be without their main striker Ibrahim Zubairu for several more weeks due to an ankle fracture.

AEK Larnaca had a productive pre-season, recording solid results in friendlies against K.V.C. Westerlo (3:1), R.F.C. Seraing (3:3), and R.S.C. Anderlecht (2:2). Against the Belgian giants, AEK Larnaca managed to claw back from a 0:2 deficit in the closing stages. However, forward Enzo Cabrera, who netted 12 goals in last season’s Cypriot First Division, picked up an injury early in that match. AEK Larnaca's upcoming return to official competition is expected to come under pressure, with Partizan Belgrade likely to create more attacking opportunities.

In addition to the absence of Ibrahim Zubairu, Partizan Belgrade will also be without their new defender Lazar Milic on Thursday due to a leg injury. The Serbian team showed signs of struggle in their friendlies against PFC CSKA Moscow and FC Dynamo Moscow, losing both matches 1:3. Their preference for short passes in defensive areas has proven to be a liability. It’s also worth noting that this European campaign carries significant weight for Srdjan Blagojevic; last season, Partizan Belgrade failed to even reach the group stage of the Europa Conference League, being eliminated in the play-off final with a 0:2 aggregate loss to K.A.A. Gent.

AEK Larnaca and Partizan Belgrade last faced each other in Europa League qualification three years ago, with AEK Larnaca progressing 4:3 on aggregate. This time, both sides are expected to take a more conservative approach to avoid costly mistakes.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
3/4
Bet now

AEK Larnaca vs Partizan Odds

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Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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