The Matchday 5 clash in the Russian Cup 2025/26 between Akhmat and Orenburg will take place on September 30 at the Akhmat Arena in Grozny. Akhmat vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Akhmat
The Grozny side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Zenit in the last round. This marks their fourth loss in the last five Russian Cup matches (1 win), all by the same scoreline. Notably, the club's scoring streak in this tournament has reached seven matches. With three points, Stanislav Cherchesov's team is at the bottom of Group A, but they are only two points behind the second place.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Akhmat's last 8 Russian Cup matches.
- The team has a 7-match uncompromising streak at home in this tournament (3 wins, 4 losses).
- The club has conceded in 12 of the last 14 home matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-5-1)
Vadim Ulyanov – Nader Gandry, Darko Todorovic, Rizvan Utsiev, Turpal-Ali Ibyshev – Manuel Kelyanu, Brian Mansilla, Maxim Samorodov, Rifat Zhemaletdinov, Mehdi Zare – Mohamed Konate.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's team defeated Rubin at home in the last round (0-0, 4-2 on penalties). However, in regular time, the team has only won two of their last 11 Russian Cup matches (1 draw, 8 losses). Notably, this was the first time Orenburg kept a clean sheet in the current tournament. The club is second in Group A, but they have conceded the most goals – 8.
- The team has scored in 5 of their last 7 national cup matches.
- Orenburg has lost 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Russian Cup (1 win).
- In 5 of the last 7 away matches in this tournament, Orenburg has conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-4-2)
Nikolay Sysuev – Alexey Tataev, Danila Vedernikov, Nikolay Koserik, Emil Tsenov – Georgy Zotov, Dmitry Rybchinsky, Vladislav Kamilov, Vladan Bubanija – Alexandre Jesus, Atsamaz Revazov.
Match Prediction: Akhmat vs. Orenburg
In Group A, only the first place is certain. The underperformer will likely be determined in the final round. In the upcoming game, I believe Grozny has a better chance of collecting points. The home advantage could play a key role. Akhmat has not lost in 13 of their last 15 official home matches (8 wins, 5 draws). Moreover, Akhmat has defeated Orenburg in 6 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters in the RPL and Russian Cup.
Orenburg can boast only two wins in their last 26 official away games (3 draws, 21 losses). These results are largely due to defensive issues. Orenburg has conceded at least two goals in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Premier League and national cup. In the current Russian Cup campaign, the club has conceded 8 goals, with only Sochi having a worse record among group stage participants (12).
My prediction: Akhmat not to lose and Total Over 1.5 goals
