The Matchday 5 clash in Ligue 1 between Auxerre and Toulouse will take place on September 21 at the Stade Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre vs. Toulouse: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Auxerre
For the second consecutive year, the team is struggling in the early part of the season. Although they won their opening match in the championship, Auxerre suffered their third consecutive defeat in the last round of Ligue 1 – their worst run since August-September 2024, when Christophe Pélissier's side lost four matches in a row. Currently, with only 3 points, Auxerre is in 15th place in the table. This position is primarily due to low scoring: in four Ligue 1 matches, the team has scored a total of 3 goals – only Nantes has a worse record with 1 goal.
- Auxerre has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 16 of their last 17 home matches in the championship.
- The club has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 7 Ligue 1 games.
Predicted lineup for Auxerre (5-4-1)
Théo De Percin – Fredrik Oppegard, Gideon Mensah, Telly Sive, Marvin Senaya, Josué Casimir – Elisha Owusu, Keven Denoua, Danny Louder, Lassine Sinayoko – Sekou Mara.
The suspension of first-choice goalkeeper Donovan Léon has ended, but midfielder Josué Casimir is now serving a suspension.
Toulouse
The club started the Ligue 1 season with two consecutive victories, extending their unbeaten run to six matches (4 wins, 2 draws), but this was followed by defeats to PSG and Lille. As a result, Toulouse quickly dropped from 2nd to 10th place in the table. Notably, even in unsuccessful matches, the team scored at least 1 goal, extending their scoring streak in the championship to seven games.
- At least 2 goals have been scored in 6 of Toulouse's last 7 Ligue 1 games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the club's last 7 championship matches.
- Carlos Martinez's side has won with a handicap (+1.5) in their last 12 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Toulouse (3-4-3)
Guillaume Restes – Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell – Dejan Metal, Abou Francis, Cristian Cásseres, Aron Dönnum – Santiago Hidalgo, Yann Gboho, Franck Magri.
Midfielder Alexis Vossa is suspended.
Referee
Marc Bollengier (France)
Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: Auxerre vs. Toulouse
Auxerre has lost three consecutive championship matches, now with only one victory in their last seven Ligue 1 outings. The team has scored in 6 of these 7 games but only managed exactly 1 goal in each. With such scoring, points can be earned through solid defense, but Auxerre has kept a clean sheet only once in their last seven championship matches. Consequently, 5 of these 7 games ended in defeat. At home, Christophe Pélissier's side traditionally performs better than away, but even at home, they have not won 10 of their last 13 Ligue 1 matches (6 draws, 4 losses).
Toulouse is heading to Auxerre after two consecutive championship defeats, but so far this league season, the team has only lost to PSG and Lille, who occupy the top two spots in the table. For a club accustomed to mid-table status, Toulouse is remarkably resilient. Carlos Martinez's team has earned at least 1 point in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, the team has not lost in their last 4 head-to-head encounters with Auxerre (2 wins, 2 draws).
In my opinion, the visitors should also avoid an unfavorable outcome this time. Prediction – Toulouse to win or draw
