The Matchday 3 clash in the Bundesliga between Bayern Munich and Hamburg will take place on September 13 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs. Hamburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayern Munich
In the previous round, Vincent Kompany's side secured a 3-2 away victory over Augsburg. This result extended Bayern Munich's unbeaten run in the Bundesliga to 11 matches (8 wins, 3 draws). Additionally, the team has scored at least three goals in each of their last three league matches. However, they conceded for the first time in four Bundesliga matches. In the standings, the Munich side confidently leads with six points. Notably, Bayern has scored nine goals in the current championship, the best record so far.
- The team has won 14 of their last 16 home matches in the Bundesliga.
- Players have scored at least three times in 13 of their last 16 home league games.
- At least four goals have been scored in 5 of Bayern's last 7 home Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanisic, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Konrad Laimer – Luis Diaz, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Joshua Kimmich, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.
Defenders Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito, as well as midfielder Jamal Musiala, will miss out due to injuries.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's side suffered a 0-2 home defeat to St. Pauli in the last round. Since their return to the Bundesliga, Hamburg has yet to secure a victory (drawing against Borussia Mönchengladbach in the first round) and has not scored any goals. In the standings, the team is 15th with one point.
- The club has failed to win 16 of their last 17 away Bundesliga matches (4 draws, 12 losses).
- The team has failed to score in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
- Hamburg has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Hamburg (3-4-3)
Daniel Fernandes – Warmed Omari, Jordan Torunarigha, Daniel Elfadli – Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Nicolas Capaldo, Nikolai Remberg, Miro Muheim – Emir Sahiti, Ransford Königsdörffer, Alexander Rössing-Lelesit.
Defender Giorgi Gocholeishvili will miss the game due to suspension.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 31%.
Bayern Munich vs. Hamburg: Match Prediction
Munich started this championship with two victories, with a total goal difference of 9:2, and will strive to continue their success at home. Bayern Munich is very confident at home and rarely slips up: they have won 14 of their last 16 home league matches. In nine of those cases, the team's advantage was at least three goals.
During their previous stint in the Bundesliga, Hamburg struggled in away matches: the team suffered 12 defeats in their last 17 away games in Germany's top division. Additionally, the club has a poor record against Bayern Munich at their ground in head-to-head encounters: in the last eight meetings, Hamburg has lost seven times by at least five goals.
I anticipate a convincing victory for Vincent Kompany's side. My prediction: Bayern Munich with a handicap (-2.5)
