The Matchday 12 Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Brighton will take place on November 23 at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth vs. Brighton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches – 6 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Bournemouth vs. Brighton
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Kepa Arrizabalaga – Milos Kerkez, Marcos Senesi, Illya Zabarnyi, Adam Smith – Lewis Cook, Tyler Adams – Ryan Christie, Justin Kluivert, Antoine Semenyo – Evanilson.
Brighton (4-4-2): Bart Verbruggen – Igor Julio, Jan Paul van Hecke, Pervis Estupinan, Joel Veltman – Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Simon Adingra, Yasin Ayari – Danny Welbeck, Jorginho Rutter.
Each team’s starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Bournemouth
In the last round, the club suffered a 2-3 away defeat to Brentford. It's worth noting that Andoni Iraola's side twice took the lead during the match. Prior to this, the team had been unbeaten in three consecutive league matches, defeating Arsenal (2-0) and Manchester City (2-1) at home, and drawing away with Aston Villa (1-1). Bournemouth is currently in 12th place with a comfortable 8-point cushion above the relegation zone.
Midfielder Ryan Christie will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 13 of the club's last 16 Premier League games.
- In 7 of Bournemouth's last 9 home matches in the Premier League, one of the teams won the second half with a clean sheet.
- The club has not lost in the first half in their previous 10 home league matches (5 wins and 5 goalless draws).
Brighton
Fabian Hurzeler's side became the second team in the Premier League this season to defeat Manchester City. The first was Bournemouth, and in both cases, the score was 2-1. Interestingly, Brighton conceded first against the Citizens but managed to secure the win towards the end of the match. As a result, the team has now claimed five victories in the current campaign, along with four draws and two losses. Three other clubs have the same record, and this quartet occupies the second to sixth positions in the league table.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Brighton's last 7 league games.
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of the club's last 7 Premier League matches.
- The team did not concede in the second half in 5 of their last 6 away Premier League games.
Bournemouth vs. Brighton: Match Prediction
Meetings between these opponents in the Premier League are usually fiercely contested. In the previous 10 encounters, Bournemouth has 5 victories, while Brighton has 4. In this match, I favor the hosts, as the home-field advantage is significant in this pairing – Bournemouth has won 4 of the last 5 league meetings at their stadium, with only one win for the visitors.
Additionally, Andoni Iraola's side has lost just twice in their last 12 home Premier League matches (7 wins and 3 draws). In their last three home games, the club managed to defeat not only Manchester City but also Arsenal, and they also secured a victory against Southampton. Brighton's away form is mediocre – in their last 18 Premier League matches, they have only 3 wins (6 draws and 9 losses).
Therefore, my prediction is – Bournemouth with a handicap (0)
