Both clubs played to high-scoring draws in their previous matches but they are at opposite ends of the league table. Brighton are the favourites, and they will be playing at home.
Brighton have rightfully soared to third place in the Premier League table, having dropped just two points in three rounds—an away game against Arsenal. Avoiding defeat at the Emirates is challenging, but the sending-off of Declan Rice after a dramatic fall early in the second half helped. Brighton couldn't break down Arsenal’s defence more than once, despite generating 1.76 xG and taking 22 shots, 19 of which came in the second half. Ipswich Town's defensive lines will be far more pliable.
While this is true, Brighton are not Liverpool or Manchester City, against whom Ipswich Town had to play in the first two rounds. During those games, they averaged 16 shots conceded per match. Against a more mid-level Fulham side, the team looked significantly better (11 shots, 4 on target) and earned a draw. Towards the end of the transfer window, the club strengthened their defence with centre-back Dara O'Shea from Burnley and added width with winger Jack Clarke from Sunderland. Competition within the squad will increase, but it won't raise them to Brighton's level.
Under Fabian Hürzeler, Brighton have showcased excellent attacking play, scoring six goals in three matches. At home against a newly-promoted Premier League side, they are likely to score at least twice again. The visitors even managed to score away against Manchester City, and their current opponent is undoubtedly weaker. Therefore, we propose this intriguing combined prediction.
|
Fabian Hürzeler
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
In squad
|
|||
|
Jason Steele
|
gk. | 2 | -1 |
|
Bart Verbruggen
|
gk. | 1 | -1 |
|
Jan Paul van Hecke
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Joël Veltman
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Lewis Dunk
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Adam Webster
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Pervis Estupiñán
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Ed Turns
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ferdi Kadioglu
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Igor Julio
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Imari Samuels
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Odel Offiah
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Tariq Lamptey
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jack Hinshelwood
|
mf. | 3 | 0 |
|
James Milner
|
mf. | 3 | 0 |
|
Yasin Ayari
|
mf. | 3 | 0 |
|
Carlos Baleba
|
mf. | 2 | 0 |
|
Julio Enciso
|
mf. | 2 | 0 |
|
Mats Wieffer
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Cameron Peupion
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jakub Moder
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jensen Weir
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Matt O'Riley
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Danny Welbeck
|
fw. | 3 | 2 |
|
João Pedro de Jesus
|
fw. | 3 | 2 |
|
Kaoru Mitoma
|
fw. | 3 | 1 |
|
Simon Adingra
|
fw. | 3 | 1 |
|
Yankuba Minteh
|
fw. | 3 | 0 |
|
Georginio Rutter
|
fw. | 2 | 0 |
|
Brajan Gruda
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Evan Ferguson
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Solomon March
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Kieran McKenna
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
In squad
|
|||
|
Arijanet Muric
|
gk. | 2 | -5 |
|
Christian Walton
|
gk. | 1 | -2 |
|
Cieran Slicker
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Axel Tuanzebe
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Jacob Greaves
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Leif Davis
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Luke Woolfenden
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
|
Ben Johnson
|
df. | 2 | 0 |
|
George Edmundson
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Harrison Clarke
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Cameron Burgess
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Conor Townsend
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Dara O'Shea
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Elkan Baggott
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Janoi Donacien
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Sam Morsy
|
mf. | 3 | 0 |
|
Sammie Szmodics
|
mf. | 3 | 1 |
|
Jack Taylor
|
mf. | 2 | 0 |
|
Massimo Luongo
|
mf. | 2 | 0 |
|
Jens Cajuste
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Kalvin Phillips
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Cameron Humphreys
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ali Al-Hamadi
|
fw. | 3 | 0 |
|
Conor Chaplin
|
fw. | 3 | 0 |
|
Liam Delap
|
fw. | 3 | 1 |
|
Omari Hutchinson
|
fw. | 3 | 0 |
|
Chiedozie Ogbene
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Wes Burns
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Freddie Ladapo
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
George Hirst
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Nathan Broadhead
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
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