Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: betting odds 12 Oct 2024

Betting tips 12 Oct 2024

From one qualification to the next, Luxembourg have been improving steadily in major tournaments, but in this Nations League, they seem to have taken a step back. Bulgaria, on the other hand, have been on a downward trajectory, yet managed to get through the September fixtures without defeat or conceding a goal. Should we anticipate these trends to continue?

Bulgaria managed to keep a clean sheet even while playing with ten men against Belarus. Before the sending-off, they should have taken the lead, but the Belarusian goalkeeper was in top form, and scoring afterwards proved challenging. The game ended goalless. Against Northern Ireland, Bulgaria played well when needed. Up until the 40th minute, they were pressing for a goal (8 shots with 3 on target and nearly 60% possession), and once they achieved their goal, they ceded possession. However, Northern Ireland couldn't capitalise, managing only three off-target efforts.

Following their loss in March's final qualifying round for the European Championship, Luxembourg appeared deflated. Where is the team that nearly qualified directly for the Euros? Their dropped points against Slovakia cost them a second-place finish. In September, they failed to score against both Belarus and Northern Ireland, though they only conceded two goals over three matches. The issue lies in their weak attack: averaging just 6.5 shots per Nations League match, with only 0.5 on target.

Both teams tend to concede heavily only against top-tier sides. Bulgaria haven't conceded more than two goals in their last 14 games, and Luxembourg have only allowed three goals against Belgium and France in their last 10 matches. In those same 10 matches, Bulgaria saw the total under 2.5 in eight games, and Luxembourg in six. It's hard to go against the trend, so we’re opting for the total under.

Betting prediction
Total under 2.5
Cf
Odds
31/50
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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Odds

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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Bulgaria
08.09.24
Bulgaria
Northern Ireland
W
05.09.24
Belarus
Bulgaria
D
More matches
Luxembourg
08.09.24
Luxembourg
Belarus
L
05.09.24
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
L
More matches

H2H: Bulgaria — Luxembourg

World Cup 2018 Qualification
10.10.17
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
1
:
1
06.09.16
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
4
:
3
Euro 2008 Qualifiers
11.09.07
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
3
:
0
10.10.06
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
0
:
1
Euro 2000 Qualifiers
09.10.99
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
3
:
0
30.03.99
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
0
:
2

Group stage

League C. Group 3
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Northern Ireland
  5:0 2:0 2:0 6 3 2 1
11:3
11
2
Bulgaria
1:0   1:1 0:0 6 2 3 1
3:6
9
3
Belarus
0:0 0:0   1:1 6 1 4 1
3:4
7
4
Luxembourg
2:2 0:1 0:1   6 0 3 3
3:7
3

Team lineups

Bulgaria

Ilian Iliev
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Ivan Dyulgerov
gk. 6 -6
Svetoslav Vutsov
gk. 6 -6
Dimitar Mitov
gk. 5 -3
Valentin Antov
df. 28 1
Ivan Turitsov
df. 19 0
Viktor Popov
df. 17 0
Alex Petkov
df. 12 0
Zhivko Atanasov
df. 8 0
Simeon Petrov
df. 6 0
Hristiyan Petrov
df. 4 0
Ivaylo Chochev
mf. 44 4
Georgi Kostadinov
mf. 42 3
Filip Krastev
mf. 18 1
Ilian Iliev
mf. 16 0
Vasil Panayotov
mf. 3 0
Fabian Nürnberger
mf. 2 0
Ivan Minchev
mf. 2 0
Serkan Yusein
mf. 2 0
Zdravko Dimitrov
mf. 2 0
Kiril Despodov
fw. 51 15
Martin Minchev
fw. 20 0
Radoslav Kirilov
fw. 16 2
George Minchev
fw. 11 1
Aleksandar Kolev
fw. 8 0
Stanislav Ivanov
fw. 5 0
Luxembourg

Luc Holtz
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Anthony Moris
gk. 69 -113
Ralph Schon
gk. 18 -24
Tiago Pereira
gk. 1 -1
Laurent Jans
df. 104 1
Maxim Chanot
df. 69 4
Chris Phillips
df. 57 0
Dirk Carlson
df. 55 0
Florian Bohnert
df. 47 1
Marvin Martins Santos Da Graca
df. 34 3
Mica Pinto
df. 34 1
Enes Mahmutovic
df. 33 0
Eldin Dzogovic
df. 6 0
Seid Korac
df. 4 0
Christopher Martins Pereira
mf. 69 1
Leandro Barreiro
mf. 58 2
Sebastien Thill
mf. 39 2
Mathias Olesen
mf. 24 1
Timothé Rupil
mf. 11 0
Kevin d'Anzico
mf. 0 0
Tomás Moreira
mf. 0 0
Danel Sinani
fw. 65 13
Gerson Rodrigues
fw. 64 21
Edvin Muratovic
fw. 17 1
Alessio Curci
fw. 10 1
Michael Omosanya
fw. 2 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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