Croatia vs Scotland: betting odds 12 Oct 2024

Betting tips 12 Oct 2024

The intense competition in the elite division of the Nations League has painted contrasting pictures for the teams of Croatia and Scotland. The 2022 World Cup bronze medalists have secured three points from their two September fixtures, while the Scottish side have stumbled twice, placing them at the bottom of Group 1.

In their away game against Portugal (1:2), Croatia faltered early, conceding twice by the 34th minute. However, they showed resilience in attack thereafter (0.37 xG vs 0.34 xG in the second half). Back home against Poland (1:0), they employed an unconventional 3-3-3-1 formation, which allowed them to dominate the game by crowding the midfield (0.84 xG with 23 shots and 59% possession). It’s likely that Croatia will stick to this tactical setup in October.

Scotland’s underwhelming showing at Euro 2024 further highlighted a worrying trend: they struggle against top-tier nations. Against both Poland (2:3) and Portugal (1:2), the Scottish side conceded 3.96 xGA over 90 minutes, with glaring shot disparities in Lisbon (5-27 in shots, 2-8 on target). It’s apparent that the coaching staff’s setup will undergo no radical changes — instead, they will rely on the standout qualities of their leaders, with Scott McTominay, Andrew Robertson, and Lyndon Dykes focusing on aerial plays.

Back in the Euro 2020 group stage, Croatia beat Scotland with two goals after the 60th minute (3:1). The Scottish side will likely take the initiative once again at home — they possess the strength and motivation to secure a win over the group underdogs.

Betting prediction
Croatia to win
Cf
Odds
59/100
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Croatia vs Scotland Odds

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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Croatia
08.09.24
Croatia
Poland
W
05.09.24
Portugal
Croatia
L
More matches
Scotland
08.09.24
Portugal
Scotland
L
05.09.24
Scotland
Poland
L
More matches

H2H: Croatia — Scotland

UEFA Euro 2020 qualifying 2020
22.06.21
Croatia
Scotland
World Cup Qualifiers 2014
15.10.13
Scotland
Croatia
2
:
0
07.06.13
Croatia
Scotland
0
:
1
Friendlies 2008
26.03.08
Scotland
Croatia
1
:
1
World Cup 2002 Qualifiers
01.09.01
Scotland
Croatia
0
:
0

Group stage

League A. Group 1
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Portugal
  2:1 -:- 2:1 4 3 1 0
7:3
10
2
Croatia
-:-   1:0 2:1 4 2 1 1
7:6
7
3
Poland
1:3 3:3   -:- 4 1 1 2
7:9
4
4
Scotland
0:0 -:- 2:3   4 0 1 3
4:7
1

Team lineups

Croatia

Zlatko Dalić
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Dominik Livaković
gk. 59 -62
Ivica Ivusic
gk. 6 -4
Dominik Kotarski
gk. 1 -1
Joško Gvardiol
df. 35 2
Duje Ćaleta-Car
df. 26 1
Borna Sosa
df. 23 1
Josip Šutalo
df. 19 0
Martin Erlic
df. 9 0
Luka Modrić
mf. 180 27
Ivan Perišić
mf. 136 33
Mateo Kovačić
mf. 106 5
Mario Pašalić
mf. 68 10
Luka Sučić
mf. 12 0
Kristijan Jakic
mf. 6 0
Martin Baturina
mf. 5 0
Petar Sučić
mf. 2 0
Nikola Moro
mf. 1 0
Andrej Kramarić
fw. 98 29
Bruno Petković
fw. 41 11
Marko Pjaca
fw. 27 1
Mislav Oršić
fw. 27 2
Ante Budimir
fw. 25 3
Luka Ivanušec
fw. 22 2
Marco Pašalić
fw. 5 1
Igor Matanović
fw. 2 0
Scotland

Steve Clarke
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Craig Gordon
gk. 75 -71
Jon McCracken
gk. 0 0
Robby McCrorie
gk. 0 0
Andrew Robertson
df. 76 3
Grant Hanley
df. 55 2
Anthony Ralston
df. 14 1
Ryan Porteous
df. 12 1
John Sutor
df. 9 1
Jack MacKenzie
df. 0 0
Liam Lindsay
df. 0 0
Nicholas Devlin
df. 0 0
Ryan Christie
mf. 54 6
Scott McTominay
mf. 54 11
Kenny McLean
mf. 44 2
Billy Gilmour
mf. 32 2
Ryan Gauld
mf. 2 0
Andy Irving
mf. 0 0
James Forrest
fw. 39 5
Lyndon Dykes
fw. 38 9
Che Adams
fw. 33 6
Lawrence Shankland
fw. 15 3
Lewis Morgan
fw. 6 0
Ben Doak
fw. 2 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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