Denmark vs Spain: betting odds 15 Nov 2024

The Matchday 5 fixture of the Nations League between Denmark and Spain in Group 4 of League A will take place on November 15 at the Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. Denmark vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Referee: Rade Obrenovic (Serbia)

 

Matches – 15 (International fixtures, 2023–2024);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 19;

Penalties – 27%.

Probable Lineups for Denmark vs. Spain

Denmark (3-4-3): Kasper Schmeichel – Joakim Maehle, Jannik Vestergaard, Victor Nelsson – Victor Kristiansen, Christian Norgaard, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Morten Hjulmand – Albert Gronbaek, Christian Eriksen, Rasmus Hojlund.


Spain (4-2-1-3): David Raya – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aymeric Laporte, Dani Vivian, Pedro Porro – Martin Zubimendi, Fabian Ruiz – Pedri – Ayoze Perez, Mikel Oyarzabal, Alvaro Morata. 

Denmark

The Scandinavians started the current tournament well, securing two clean-sheet victories at home in September. However, in October, the team played away and lost to Spain (0-1) and drew with Switzerland (2-2). Denmark currently sits second in their group, three points ahead of Serbia. To guarantee a playoff spot, the Danes need to earn more points than the Serbs in this round. 


At the end of October, Brian Riemer became the new head coach of the national team.


  • At least one team failed to score in 6 of Denmark's last 8 Nations League games.
  • Before the draw with Switzerland, the team had a 13-match streak without a draw in this tournament (9 wins and 4 losses).
  • The number "2" appeared in the final scoreline in 10 of Denmark's last 12 Nations League matches.

Spain

In contrast, Spain played their first two matches of the tournament away, drawing with Serbia (0-0) and thrashing Switzerland (4-1). Last month, the team secured clean-sheet victories at home against Denmark (1-0) and Serbia (3-0). Luis de la Fuente's side confidently tops Group 4 and has secured a playoff spot in the Nations League. The team can ensure the top spot if they avoid defeat in the upcoming match.


  • Spain is unbeaten in regular time in their last seven matches in this tournament (5 wins and 2 draws).
  • At least one team failed to score in 4 of Spain's last 5 Nations League matches.
  • The team scored in the second half in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches. 

Denmark vs. Spain: Match Prediction

In the upcoming match, bookmakers see the visitors as favorites, but I believe the hosts have a strong chance of avoiding defeat. After all, the Spaniards will be more relaxed, as they are not under pressure for the result, having already advanced to the tournament's playoffs. Head coach Luis de la Fuente can afford to experiment with the lineup, while for Denmark's new coach, it's important to start his national team career with a positive outcome.


With caution, I suggest a minimal handicap for the Scandinavians. Denmark has lost only twice in 10 home Nations League matches, with one of those losses by a single goal. The Danes also have a 9-match winning streak at home in official competitions. Meanwhile, before their win over Switzerland, Spain had never won away in this tournament by a margin of two or more goals.


Considering the lack of motivation for the visitors and Denmark's solid home record, my prediction is Denmark with a handicap (+1) at odds of


Author:

Denmark — Spain betting tips 15 Nov 2024

It appears that both Denmark and Spain have showcased their best attacking football in the current Nations League campaign. The reigning European champions have already secured their spot in the playoffs, while the Scandinavians need just a minimal point tally to progress from the group—they are unlikely to take risks against a top-tier opponent, even on home soil.

In four Nations League matches, Denmark have only once exceeded the total over 2.5. Against Spain in Murcia last month (0:1), they created merely 0.10 xG, fully committing to a more defensive style of play (1-6 in shots on target). In their away match against Switzerland (2:2), the Danes twice came from behind, demonstrating the resilience needed to claw back points at crucial moments.

Without the injured Rodri Hernández, Spain have become a less vibrant team, relying on routine victories based on their superior skill. They edged out Denmark with a late goal from Martín Zubimendi, and benefited from Serbia's poor form (3:0), with their opponents managing just one shot on target. It's likely Luis de la Fuente will use the remaining two matches to experiment with the lineup and test new players, which could affect the quality of their play.

A month after their first encounter, it’s improbable that either side will open up. Denmark are content with a draw and will likely adopt a counter-attacking approach again, while Spain have little motivation and will probably field a less-than-optimal lineup. Therefore, betting on total under is the most sensible choice.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
73/100
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Denmark
15.10.24
Switzerland
Denmark
D
12.10.24
Spain
Denmark
L
08.09.24
Denmark
Serbia
W
05.09.24
Denmark
Switzerland
W
More matches
Spain
15.10.24
Spain
Serbia
W
12.10.24
Spain
Denmark
W
08.09.24
Switzerland
Spain
W
05.09.24
Serbia
Spain
D
More matches

H2H: Denmark — Spain

Nations League 2024-2025
12.10.24
Spain
Denmark

Group stage

League A. Group 4
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Spain
  1:0 3:0 -:- 4 3 1 0
8:1
10
2
Denmark
-:-   2:0 2:0 4 2 1 1
6:3
7
3
Serbia
0:0 -:-   2:0 4 1 1 2
2:5
4
4
Switzerland
1:4 2:2 -:-   4 0 1 3
3:10
1

Team lineups

Denmark

Brian Riemer
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Kasper Schmeichel
gk. 109 -89
Mads Hermansen
gk. 0 0
Peter Vindahl-Jensen
gk. 0 0
Joakim Maehle
df. 50 11
Jannik Vestergaard
df. 49 3
Joachim Andersen
df. 38 0
Alexander Hartmann Bah
df. 19 1
Victor Kristiansen
df. 15 0
Victor Nelsson
df. 15 0
Patrick Dorgu
df. 3 1
Christian Eriksen
mf. 138 43
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
mf. 85 11
Christian Nørgaard
mf. 30 1
Morten Hjulmand
mf. 13 1
Albert Grönbaek
mf. 4 1
Gustav Tang Isaksen
mf. 4 1
Morten Frendrup
mf. 1 0
Yussuf Poulsen
fw. 86 14
Kasper Dolberg
fw. 52 11
Andreas Olsen
fw. 35 8
Jonas Wind
fw. 34 8
Mikkel Damsgaard
fw. 29 4
Rasmus Winther Højlund
fw. 20 7
Spain

Luis de la Fuente
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
David Raya
gk. 10 -4
Robert Lynch Sánchez
gk. 2 0
Álex Remiro
gk. 1 -1
Aymeric Laporte
df. 39 2
Marc Cucurella
df. 12 0
Álex Grimaldo
df. 9 0
Dani Vivian
df. 7 0
Pedro Porro
df. 5 0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
df. 4 0
Óscar Mingueza
df. 1 0
Aitor Paredes Casamichana
df. 0 0
Dani Olmo
mf. 40 11
Fabián Ruiz
mf. 33 6
Mikel Merino
mf. 30 2
Pedro González López
mf. 28 2
Martín Zubimendi
mf. 14 1
Álex Baena
mf. 7 2
Marc Casadó Torras
mf. 0 0
Álvaro Morata
fw. 82 37
Mikel Oyarzabal
fw. 40 12
Nicholas Williams Arthuer
fw. 22 4
Yéremi Pino
fw. 13 2
Bryan Gil
fw. 4 0
Ayoze Pérez
fw. 3 1
Bryan Zaragoza
fw. 2 0
Samuel Omorodion Aghehowa
fw. 0 0
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