Ecuador vs Brazil: prediction & betting odds 6 June 2025

The Matchday 15 encounter of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Ecuador and Brazil will be held on June 6 at the Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo in Guayaquil. Ecuador vs. Brazil: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Ecuador

Sebastián Beccacece's side had a successful run in the March qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. They first defeated Venezuela at home (2-1) and then secured a draw away against Chile (0-0). This extended Ecuador's unbeaten streak in the qualifiers to seven matches (4 wins and 3 draws). The team is sitting comfortably in second place in the standings, eight points clear of the seventh position. Notably, Ecuador has conceded the fewest goals in the group, with only five.

• No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of Ecuador's last 11 World Cup qualifying games.
• Ecuador has kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 matches in this qualification.
• In 5 of Ecuador's last 6 qualifying matches, the second half ended in a draw.

Predicted lineup for Ecuador (4-5-1)

Hernán Galíndez – William Pacho, Piero Hincapié, Pervis Estupiñán, Joel Ordóñez – Moisés Caicedo, Alan Franco Palma, Gonzalo Plata, Darwin Guagua, Pedro Vite – Enner Valencia.

Brazil

Brazil missed the chance to climb to second place after suffering a heavy 1-4 defeat away to Argentina in the last round. Before that, the team was unbeaten in five South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup, with 3 wins and 2 draws. Brazil is currently in fourth place, just two points behind Ecuador.

• Both teams scored in Brazil's last four World Cup qualifying matches.
• At least two goals have been scored in Brazil's last six qualifying games.
• Brazil has not won the second half in 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament (3 draws and 2 losses).

Predicted lineup for Brazil (4-2-3-1)

Bento – Murillo, Guilherme Arana, Marquinhos, Wesley França – Joelinton, André – Rodrygo Goes, Vinícius Júnior, Raphinha Dias – Matheus Cunha.

The Brazilian Football Federation dismissed Dorival Júnior. At the end of May, former Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti was appointed, becoming the first foreign manager of the national team since 1965. Notably absent from Brazil's squad are goalkeeper Ederson, defenders Gabriel Magalhães and Éder Militão, midfielders Lucas Paquetá and Lucas Moura, as well as forwards Rodrygo Goes, Endrick Felipe, and Neymar.

Referee

Piero Maza (Chile)

Matches – 9 (International matches, 2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 22%.

Ecuador vs. Brazil: Match Prediction

Ecuador is having an impressive qualifying campaign and maintains a strong chance of reaching the World Cup. The team's success is largely due to their excellent defensive play, having conceded only five goals in 14 qualifiers. At home, Ecuador has recorded five wins and two draws in seven qualifying matches, with a total score of 10-2. The team rarely allows opponents to score, though they do not score many goals themselves.

Brazil will find it challenging to break down such a solid defense. Additionally, Brazil's away record is poor; in seven away qualifiers, they have earned only 7 points and scored just 6 goals. Notably, they scored more than one goal only against Chile, while in other matches, they either scored once or not at all. Therefore, I anticipate that this match will not feature many goals, especially considering the low-scoring nature of their last five official head-to-head encounters.

My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals