The Matchday 30 clash in the MIR RPL between Fakel and Krylia Sovetov will take place on May 24 at the Fakel Stadium in Voronezh. Fakel vs. Krylia Sovetov: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fakel
In the last round, Igor Shalimov's side drew 1-1 away against Pari NN. As a result, Fakel extended their winless streak in the league to 17 matches (7 draws, 10 losses). However, in 5 of their last 7 RPL games, the club has not conceded more than one goal. In the standings, the Voronezh team has only 17 points and sits at the bottom. The team has already been relegated to the First League, but a win could lift them to 17th place. Fakel's low scoring is notable: the club has scored only 13 goals this season, the worst in the league.
- The club has not won in their last 11 home matches in the RPL (7 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has not scored in their last six home league games.
- Voronezh has conceded exactly one or two goals in 7 of their last 9 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Fakel (4-4-2)
Vitaliy Gudiev – Igor Yurganov, Sergey Bozhin, Igor Kalinin, Albert Gabaraev – Ilnur Alshin, Andrey Ivlev, Nikita Motspan, Irakli Kvekveskiri – Vladimir Ilyin, Alexey Kashtanov.
Defender Max Dziov will miss the match due to injury. Midfielder Ilnur Alshin is suspended.
Krylia Sovetov
Igor Osinkin's side were defeated 0-2 at home by Spartak in the last round. This marks Krylia Sovetov's third consecutive league defeat, during which they have conceded ten goals. Furthermore, the club failed to score for the first time in eight Premier League matches. The Samara team is in tenth place in the standings with 30 points. A draw would be enough to secure their place in the RPL.
- The team has not won in 9 of their last 11 away RPL matches (4 draws, 5 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of the club's last 7 away league matches.
- At least four goals were scored in 5 of Krylia Sovetov's last 7 away Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Krylia Sovetov (4-4-2)
Sergey Pesyakov – Glenn Bale, Dominik Oroz, Roman Evgeniev, Kirill Pechenin – Nikolay Rasskazov, Fernando Costanza, Sergey Babkin, Ulvi Babaev – Vladislav Shitov, Ivan Sergeev.
Defender Glenn Bale and midfielder Fernando Costanza will miss the game due to suspension.
Referee
Aleksei Sukhoi (Russia)
Matches – 17 (RPL, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 82;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 41%.
Match Prediction for Fakel vs. Krylia Sovetov
This season, Voronezh has struggled offensively and even at home, they prefer a defensive approach. In their last 14 home league games, Fakel has not scored more than one goal, and in ten of these matches, they failed to score at all, including the last six. However, defensively, the club is solid, allowing no more than one goal in 11 of their last 13 home RPL matches, with six clean sheets.
Krylia Sovetov also lacks attacking prowess. On the road, the team rarely impresses with high scoring: in their last 18 away Premier League matches, Samara scored more than once in only five games. Additionally, this season, they failed to score against both Akron and Dynamo Makhachkala away.
I do not expect a high-scoring encounter. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals