The Matchday 1 fixture of the 2025/26 UEFA Europa Conference League group stage between Fiorentina (Italy) and Sigma (Czech Republic) will be held on October 2 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. Fiorentina vs. Sigma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
The Italians began their campaign with the playoff qualification matches, successfully overcoming the challenge of Polissya (3-0, 3-2). Consequently, Fiorentina will participate in the main draw of the Europa Conference League for the fourth consecutive season, having reached at least the semi-finals in the previous three editions of this European competition. Notably, the club's scoring streak in the competition stands at 16 matches.
- The team has won 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Europa Conference League.
- At least four goals were scored in 5 of their last 6 home games in this European competition.
- The Italians have scored at least twice in their last nine home matches in the Europa Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Pablo Mari, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Jacopo Fazzini, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Robin Gosens – Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.
Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Christian Kouame will miss the game due to injuries. Forward Moise Kean is suspended.
Sigma
In this European season, the Czechs began with the playoff qualification matches of the Europa League but failed to overcome Malmö (0-3, 0-2). As a result, Sigma has lost their last four matches in European club competitions, failing to score a single goal in this stretch. It is worth noting that the club has never previously participated in the main draw of any European competition, with their best achievement on the European stage being a quarter-final appearance in the UEFA Cup in the 1991/92 season.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches in European competitions.
- No more than three goals were scored in the team's last six matches on the European stage.
Predicted lineup for Sigma (4-5-1)
Jan Koutny – Filip Slavicek, Abdoulaye Sylla, Jan Kral, Jiri Slama – Artur Dolzhnikov, Radim Breite, David Tkac, Michal Beran, Simon Misez – Daniel Vasulin.
Defender Jan Kral will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Florian Badstübner (Germany)
Matches – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 19%.
Fiorentina vs. Sigma: Match Prediction
Participation in the Europa Conference League has become routine for Fiorentina, with the team consistently advancing far in the tournament. At home, the Italians often achieve maximum results, displaying vibrant attacking play. In their last nine home matches in the competition, the club has always scored at least twice, and on six occasions, Fiorentina scored at least three goals.
Sigma has not participated in European competitions for a long time, and in the qualification for the current Europa League, they were unable to challenge Malmö, conceding a total of five goals over two legs against the Swedes. Additionally, in the past week, the team played two matches in the Czech league and national cup, allowing their opponents to score five times in total. Notably, in the cup match, Sigma conceded three goals to a team from the fourth Czech division.
I believe the visitors will struggle to avoid conceding several goals in this encounter, so my prediction: Fiorentina Individual Total Over 2
