Ireland vs Finland: betting odds 14 Nov 2024

The 5th round match of the Nations League between the national teams of Ireland and Finland in Group 2 of League B will take place on November 14 at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin. Ireland vs Finland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Referee: Harm Osters (Germany)


Matches – 11 (International meetings, 2023–2024);

Yellow/red cards shown – 58;

Average yellow/red cards per match – 5.3;

Red cards shown – 3;

Fouls per match on average – 22;

Penalties – 27%.

Predicted line-ups for the Ireland vs Finland match

The Republic of Ireland (3-5-1-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Dara O'Shea, Liam Scales, Nathan Collins – Callum O'Dowda, Josh Cullen, Sammie Szmodics, Jason Knight, Casey McaTeer – Finn Azaz – Evan Ferguson.


Finland (4-3-3): Lukas Hradecky – Jere Uronen, Arttu Hoskonen, Nikolai Alho, Robert Ivanov – Rasmus Schuller, Kaan Kairinen, Glen Kamara – Robin Lod, Joel Pohjanpalo, Daniel O'Shaughnessy.

The Republic of Ireland

Managed by Heimir Hallgrimsson, after 4 rounds the team has secured just one victory, which came against Finland (2:1). In the other three encounters, the team suffered defeats, each with a clean sheet. In the previous round, the Irish lost to Greece (0:2) and almost lost any chance of competing for the top two spots in the quartet. To still finish in second place, Ireland needs two wins, including a substantial victory over England. Moreover, the English must lose all their remaining matches. To avoid relegation to League C, the Irish simply need to avoid defeat in the upcoming match.


  • At least two goals have been scored in eight of Ireland's previous Nations League matches.
  • The number '2' has appeared in the final score in six of the team's last matches in this tournament.
  • In 9 out of 10 of Ireland's previous home encounters in the Nations League, at least one team failed to score.

Finland

The Finns have lost all four matches in the current Nations League. In September, the team suffered away defeats with a clean sheet against Greece (0:3) and England (0:2), and in October, they lost at home to Ireland (1:2) and England (1:3). The team has already lost any chance of finishing in the top two but still has the opportunity to fight to stay in League B. For this, Finland needs a victory over Ireland, preferably by a two-goal margin, so that in the event of equal points at the end of the group stage, they have the advantage over their opponent based on head-to-head meetings.


  • Two or more goals have been scored in seven of Finland's previous matches in this tournament.
  • Finland's uncompromising away streak in the Nations League consists of 11 matches (4 wins and 7 losses).
  • The team has conceded the first goal in 5 out of the last 6 away encounters in the Nations League.

Ireland vs Finland: match prediction

A meeting of the group 2 underdogs. The fate of the last place in the quartet will be decided in this head-to-head confrontation. The third position will not secure a place in League B, but there will still be a chance to fight for it against one of the representatives of League C who finishes second in their group. The Irish have better chances to avoid direct relegation, especially since they won in Finland.


With such an advantage, the hosts, in my opinion, will aim to play for at least a draw, acting extremely cautiously in defense. Ireland knows how to 'dry out' matches. In 8 out of their last 10 home games in the Nations League, no more than two goals were scored, and in those eight matches, the Irish themselves did not score. Moreover, only in 3 out of these 10 encounters did Ireland's opponents manage to score more than once.


Meanwhile, Finland in their last 11 away Nations League matches has failed to score five times, scored a single goal three times, and managed to score twice only three times. Therefore, I assume that the match will be low-scoring. There may be many fouls and warnings, but the Irish will not delight with goals and will not allow the Finns to do so either. My prediction is for "Under 2.5 Goals" 

Betting tips 14 Nov 2024

In the current UEFA Nations League campaign, the national teams of Ireland and Finland have struggled to achieve their main objective, quickly falling behind Greece and England in the standings. For the second leg, the Irish team need only a minimal points haul to contend for staying in League B.

In four Nations League matches, Ireland have surpassed a total under 2.5 just once. After their victory in Helsinki (2:1), the team showed little against Greece in Piraeus (0:2), with only two shots on target compared to seven from the group leaders. The attacking trio of Evan Ferguson, Chiedozie Ogbene, and Troy Parrott have found it difficult to create chances against strong opponents due to the overall quality of Ireland's attacking players being not particularly high.

Finland have started their four tournament matches with little ambition, failing to secure a single point and are on the brink of relegation to League C. Against England (1:3), they managed to create 1.24 xG with three shots on target but only found the net from a free kick and corner in the closing minutes. For the challenging trip to Dublin, there's a possibility one of the experienced forwards, Joel Pohjanpalo or Teemu Pukki, might return to the starting lineup, although this is unlikely to significantly improve their attacking prowess.

In the return leg between Ireland and Finland, there won’t be many dangerous moments. Both teams have scored only two goals each in four tournament games, so we shouldn’t expect a high-scoring affair. A dry and dull match between two sides fighting for survival lies ahead.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
61/100
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Ireland
13.10.24
Greece
Ireland
L
10.10.24
Finland
Ireland
W
10.09.24
Ireland
Greece
L
07.09.24
Ireland
England
L
More matches
Finland
13.10.24
Finland
England
L
10.10.24
Finland
Ireland
L
10.09.24
England
Finland
L
07.09.24
Greece
Finland
L
More matches

H2H: Ireland — Finland

Nations League 2024-2025
10.10.24
Finland
Ireland
Nations League 2020-2021
14.10.20
Finland
Ireland
06.09.20
Ireland
Finland

Group stage

League B. Group 2
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
England
  1:2 5:0 2:0 6 5 0 1
16:3
15
2
Greece
0:3   2:0 3:0 6 5 0 1
11:4
15
3
Ireland
0:2 0:2   1:0 6 2 0 4
3:12
6
4
Finland
1:3 0:2 1:2   6 0 0 6
2:13
0

Team lineups

Ireland

Heimir Hallgrímsson
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Caoimhin Kelleher
gk. 18 -18
Mark Travers
gk. 4 -5
Max O'Leary
gk. 0 0
Matt Doherty
df. 47 2
Dara O'Shea
df. 30 0
Nathan Collins
df. 24 2
Ryan Manning
df. 11 0
Liam Scales
df. 7 1
Jake O'Brien
df. 3 0
Mark McGuinness
df. 0 0
Josh Cullen
mf. 38 0
Jason Knight
mf. 34 1
Callum O'Dowda
mf. 30 1
Jayson Molumby
mf. 27 0
Sammie Szmodics
mf. 8 0
Festy Ebosele
mf. 5 0
Finn Azaz
mf. 3 0
Andrew Moran
mf. 1 0
Troy Parrott
fw. 25 5
Evan Ferguson
fw. 16 3
Michael Johnston
fw. 12 2
Kasey Mcateer
fw. 3 0
Thomas Cannon
fw. 1 0
Finland

Markku Kanerva
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Lukáš Hrádecký
gk. 96 -115
Jesse Joronen
gk. 19 -23
Viljami Kari Veikko Sinisalo
gk. 3 -4
Jere Uronen
df. 69 1
Nikolai Alho
df. 38 0
Robert Ivanov
df. 33 0
Daniel O'Shaughnessy
df. 21 1
Arttu Hoskonen
df. 15 1
Miro Tenho
df. 4 0
Tuomas Ollila
df. 3 0
Juhani Pikkarainen
df. 0 0
Rasmus Schüller
mf. 79 0
Robin Lod
mf. 72 6
Glen Kamara
mf. 63 2
Ilmari Niskanen
mf. 21 1
Kaan Kairinen
mf. 17 0
Urho Nissilä
mf. 14 0
Matti Peltola
mf. 13 0
Onni Valakari
mf. 11 1
Anssi Suhonen
mf. 8 0
Teemu Pukki
fw. 125 42
Joel Pohjanpalo
fw. 75 16
Benjamin Källman
fw. 25 7
Oliver Antman
fw. 16 6
Daniel Håkans
fw. 8 4

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Andy H
Andy H
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