Israel vs Italy: betting odds 9 Sep 2024

Betting tips 9 Sep 2024

Following a remarkable comeback victory in Paris (3:1), Italy are set to play against Israel, who are the main contenders for the last place in the group. But is success so guaranteed for the Italian side?

On Friday, Israel suffered a 3:1 defeat to Belgium in an away match on neutral ground. The score could have been even more one-sided, but Loïs Openda missed a second penalty. Israel managed to equalise in the first half only due to an own goal by Timothy Castagne. However, they had no real chance of a different outcome besides a loss. Only in the final 10 minutes of the first half did they take the initiative and attack. Their xG tells a lot — 0.59, while Belgium’s was 3.61. This match will also be held in Budapest behind closed doors, so Israel can't count on support from their fans.

It seemed like Italy were in for a tough time after a dreadful start when Giovanni Di Lorenzo hesitated, and Bradley Barcola simply dispossessed him and ran towards the goal. Conceding a goal in the first 13 seconds is a shock that can be hard to overcome. But the team managed to turn the match around and the coaching staff will remember this terrible incident. In terms of accurate strikes, Italy surpassed France twice (6-3) and scored even more than expected (1.74 xG). Important win, but they lost key defender Riccardo Calafiori to a thigh injury, and he has already left the squad.

Historically, these teams have met five times, but only twice in the 21st century. In the 2018 World Cup qualifiers, Italy won both times: 3:1 away and 1:0 at home. In Israel's last four matches, at least three goals have been scored, often in their net. Therefore, considering Italy's strong performance in the first round, our prediction is for a high-scoring victory for them.

Betting prediction
Italy to win + Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
9/10
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Israel vs Italy Odds

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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Israel
06.09.24
Belgium
Israel
L
Italy
06.09.24
France
Italy
W

H2H: Israel — Italy

World Cup 2018 Qualification
05.09.17
Italy
Israel
1
:
0
05.09.16
Israel
Italy
1
:
3

Group stage

League A. Group 2
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
France
  1:3 2:0 0:0 6 4 1 1
12:6
13
2
Italy
1:3   2:2 4:1 6 4 1 1
13:8
13
3
Belgium
1:2 0:1   3:1 6 1 1 4
6:9
4
4
Israel
1:4 1:2 1:0   6 1 1 4
5:13
4

Team lineups

Israel

Ran Ben Shimon
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Yoav Gerafi
gk. 2 -5
Omer Niron
gk. 0 0
Sharif Kaiuf
gk. 0 0
Eli Dasa
df. 63 0
Raz Shlomo
df. 12 1
Roy Revivo
df. 7 0
Denny Gropper
df. 5 0
Idan Nachmias
df. 3 0
Ilay Feingold
df. 0 0
Dor Peretz
mf. 42 6
Mohammed Abu Fani
mf. 23 0
Neta lavi
mf. 22 0
Gavriel Gilad Kanichowsky
mf. 14 1
Ramzi Safuri
mf. 14 0
Oscar Gloukh
mf. 13 3
Mahmoud Jaber
mf. 5 0
Dan Biton
mf. 3 0
Omri Gandelman
mf. 2 0
Ethane Azoulay
mf. 0 0
Manor Solomon
fw. 38 7
Tai Baribo
fw. 15 3
Liel Abada
fw. 11 1
Sagiv Yehezkel
fw. 9 0
Dor David Turgeman
fw. 6 0
Anan Khalaili
fw. 5 0
Dean David
fw. 5 1
Italy

Luciano Spalletti
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Gianluigi Donnarumma
gk. 66 -52
Alex Meret
gk. 3 -2
Guglielmo Vicario
gk. 2 0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
df. 39 3
Alessandro Bastoni
df. 27 2
Federico Dimarco
df. 23 3
Andrea Cambiaso
df. 7 0
Riccardo Calafiori
df. 6 0
Alessandro Buongiorno
df. 5 0
Federico Gatti
df. 3 0
Iyenoma Destiny Udogie
df. 3 0
Raoul Bellanova
df. 2 0
Caleb Okoli
df. 0 0
Lorenzo Pellegrini
mf. 34 6
Davide Frattesi
mf. 19 6
Sandro Tonali
mf. 16 0
Nicolò Fagioli
mf. 4 0
Samuele Ricci
mf. 3 0
Marco Brescianini
mf. 1 0
Giacomo Raspadori
fw. 31 7
Moise Kean
fw. 16 4
Mateo Retegui
fw. 12 4
Mattia Zaccagni
fw. 7 1

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Andy H
Andy H
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