Italy vs Belgium: betting odds 10 Oct 2024

Betting tips 10 Oct 2024

In a particularly balanced group where Italy and Belgium are contending with the clear favourite, France, and with Israel as the underdog, the head-to-head clash between these two sides holds significant implications. Bookmakers have earmarked Italy as the potential winners for the match in Rome, as the team has not yet dropped points in the Nations League campaign.

After a disappointing Euro 2024, where the Italian national team was eliminated in the Round of 16 against Switzerland (0:2), the coaching staff decided to revamp the formation. Against France (3:1), they overloaded the midfield, with a quartet of midfielders complementing each other skillfully—this led to a substantial creative advantage (2.12 xG vs 0.79 xG). Of course, both against the French and Israelis, Italy's players made defensive errors due to the advanced positions of the full-backs, but Italy are now prioritising their attack.

Belgium head into the upcoming game without Thibaut Courtois, Kevin De Bruyne, and Romelu Lukaku—the first two are injured, while Napoli's new signing has requested not to be called up. These absences may actually benefit Domenico Tedesco, as the former Spartak Moscow and RB Leipzig manager is retooling the team with an emphasis on rapid transitions to attack. They confidently overcame Israel (3:1 with 3.13 xG and 26 shots) but struggled to compete with the more experienced France (0:2).

In 2021, Italy defeated Belgium twice (both 2:1), although both sides had plenty of chances. A repeat of history is plausible since neither coach is likely to concede the initiative.

Betting prediction
Total over 2.5
Cf
Odds
19/20
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Italy vs Belgium Odds

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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Italy
09.09.24
Israel
Italy
W
06.09.24
France
Italy
W
More matches
Belgium
09.09.24
France
Belgium
L
06.09.24
Belgium
Israel
W
More matches

H2H: Italy — Belgium

Nations League 2020-2021
10.10.21
Italy
Belgium
UEFA Euro 2020 qualifying 2020
02.07.21
Belgium
Italy
UEFA Euro 2020 qualifying 2016
13.06.16
Belgium
Italy
Friendlies 2015-2016
12.11.15
Belgium
Italy
3
:
1
Friendlies 2008
30.05.08
Italy
Belgium
3
:
1
Euro 2000
14.06.00
Italy
Belgium
2
:
0

Group stage

League A. Group 2
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Italy
  -:- 2:2 4:1 4 3 1 0
11:5
10
2
France
1:3   2:0 -:- 4 3 0 1
9:5
9
3
Belgium
-:- 1:2   3:1 4 1 1 2
6:7
4
4
Israel
1:2 1:4 -:-   4 0 0 4
4:13
0

Team lineups

Italy

Luciano Spalletti
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Gianluigi Donnarumma
gk. 67 -53
Guglielmo Vicario
gk. 2 0
Michele Di Gregorio
gk. 0 0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
df. 39 3
Alessandro Bastoni
df. 28 2
Federico Dimarco
df. 24 3
Andrea Cambiaso
df. 8 0
Alessandro Buongiorno
df. 6 0
Riccardo Calafiori
df. 6 0
Federico Gatti
df. 4 0
Iyenoma Destiny Udogie
df. 4 0
Raoul Bellanova
df. 3 0
Caleb Okoli
df. 0 0
Matteo Gabbia
df. 0 0
Lorenzo Pellegrini
mf. 34 6
Davide Frattesi
mf. 20 7
Sandro Tonali
mf. 17 0
Nicolò Fagioli
mf. 4 0
Samuele Ricci
mf. 4 0
Daniel Maldini
mf. 0 0
Niccolò Pisilli
mf. 0 0
Giacomo Raspadori
fw. 32 7
Mateo Retegui
fw. 13 4
Belgium

Domenico Tedesco
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Koen Casteels
gk. 16 -10
Maarten Vandevoordt
gk. 0 0
Ortwin De Wolf
gk. 0 0
Timothy Castagne
df. 49 2
Wout Faes
df. 21 0
Arthur Nicolas Theate
df. 20 0
Zeno Koen Debast
df. 12 0
Sebastiaan Bornauw
df. 4 0
Maxim De Cuyper
df. 3 0
Koni De Winter
df. 1 0
Matte Smets
df. 0 0
Youri Tielemans
mf. 72 9
Orel Mangala
mf. 20 0
Charles Marc S. De Ketelaere
mf. 18 2
Aster Vranckx
mf. 7 0
Arne Engels
mf. 1 0
Leandro Trossard
fw. 37 9
Jérémy Doku
fw. 28 2
Loïs Openda
fw. 22 2
Dodi Lukebakio
fw. 20 2
Saint-Cyr Johan Bakayoko
fw. 16 1
Cyril Ngonge
fw. 0 0
Malick Martin Fofana
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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