The Matchday 5 clash of the Fonbet Russian Cup 2025/26 between Krylia Sovetov and Sochi will take place on October 1 at the Solidarity Samara Arena. Krylia Sovetov vs. Sochi: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krylia Sovetov
In the previous round, the Samara side suffered a 1-2 defeat at home to Krasnodar. The team has yet to win in regular time in this tournament edition. Furthermore, Krylia Sovetov have gone 12 matches in the Russian Cup without a victory in 90 minutes (3 draws, 9 losses). However, they have scored in 7 of those encounters. In Group B, Magomed Adiev's side is the least productive with four goals. In the overall standings, they occupy the 3rd spot.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Krylia Sovetov's last 9 Russian Cup games.
- The team has not won in regular time in their last 9 home matches in this tournament (3 draws, 6 losses).
- In 5 of their last 6 home games in the Russian Cup, the club has conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Krylia Sovetov (4-4-2)
Nikita Kokarev – Sergey Bozhin, Nikita Chernov, Ivan Lepsky, Kirill Pechenin – Alexey Sutormin, Maksim Vityugov, Dmitriy Ivanisenya, Fernando Costanza – Amir Rakhmanovich, Ivan Oleynikov.
Forwards Vladimir Khubulov and Vadim Rakov, as well as midfielders Sergey Babkin and Maksim Vityugov, are injured.
Sochi
In the previous round, Sochi suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Dynamo Moscow. In the current Russian Cup campaign, the team has collected only two points (1 draw and 3 losses in regular time), placing Igor Osinkin's side at the bottom of Group B. Despite this, they still have a theoretical chance to fight for a playoff spot, but a loss in the upcoming game would end those hopes. Additionally, their 11-match scoring streak in this tournament was snapped in the match against the Moscow club.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Sochi's last 6 Russian Cup matches.
- The club has not lost in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Russian Cup (2 wins and 3 draws in regular time).
- In 5 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, Sochi has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Sochi (4-4-2)
Ivan Lomaev – Kirill Zaika, Alexander Osipov, Ignacio Saavedra, Vyacheslav Litvinov – Solomon Agbalaka, Maksim Mukhin, Ruslan Magal, Alexander Kovalenko – Ruslan Bart, Artem Korneev.
Forward Pavel Meleshin, midfielder Mikhail Ignatov, and defender Marcelo Alves are injured. Forward Saul Guarirapa has left the team. Midfielder Ignacio Saavedra is suspended.
Referee
Sergey Cheban (Russia)
Matches – 9 (Russian Cup, 2023/24 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Match Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs. Sochi
For Samara to secure at least the 3rd spot, they only need to avoid defeat in regular time in the upcoming game. The team's results have not been the best recently, but it's not all black and white. Krylia Sovetov have avoided defeat in 4 of their last 7 official home matches, though they have suffered two losses against Krasnodar and once against Dynamo Moscow. The level and ambitions of these opponents are significantly higher than Sochi's. Moreover, Samara has never lost to Sochi in the RPL and Russian Cup (9 wins, 1 draw).
For Sochi, things remain consistently poor. The team has not won in regular time this season. Furthermore, they have lost 6 of their last 7 official matches. In 6 of their last 7 away games in the Premier League and Russian Cup, the club has conceded at least two goals. In the Russian Cup 2025/26, Sochi has the worst defensive record among all group stage participants.
Considering these facts, my prediction: Krylia Sovetov will not lose and Total Over 1.5 goals
