Match stats

Logo Lech Poznań Logo Genk
40 Ball possession (%) 60
14 Goal attempts 19
7 Shots on Goal 11
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked shots 4

Lech vs KRC Genk: prediction & betting odds 21 August 2025

The first leg of the Europa League 2025/26 qualifying playoff between Lech (Poland) and Genk (Belgium) will take place on August 21 at the Poznan Stadium. Lech vs. Genk: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee

Donatas Rumsas (Lithuania)


Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;

Average yellow cards per match – 3;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 23%.

Betting tips 21 August 2025

Neither side has had much joy at the start of the new season. With a place in the Europa League group stage on the line, this first leg is about laying down a foundation — otherwise, the fallback will be the Conference League.

Polish champions Lech fell out of the Champions League in the third qualifying round, losing to Crvena Zvezda (1:3) away and drawing 1:1 at home. Domestically, they were then held by Korona (1:1). The pattern in Poznań is clear: in all six of their home games this season they have conceded, and five of those have gone over the total. Wins have also been hard to come by — just two so far.

Genk have also had a sluggish start in the Belgian Pro League, sitting eighth after four rounds with only one victory. The difference is that this will be their first appearance in Europe this season, so the form guide comes entirely from domestic matches. Under Thorsten Fink, they have seen both teams score in all four league outings and three of those finish over 2.5 goals.

With those numbers, both teams to score or over 2.5 goals look logical. Their last meeting, back in 2018 in Poznań, ended 2:1 in favour of the visitors — and we lean towards another high-scoring game.  

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
33/50
Bet now

Lech vs KRC Genk Odds

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Team lineups

Lech

Niels Frederiksen
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Bartosz Mrozek
gk. 0 0
Alex Raymond Douglas
df. 0 0
Antonio Milić
df. 0 0
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho
df. 0 0
Mateusz Skrzypczak
df. 0 0
Antoni Kozubal
mf. 0 0
Filip Wojciech Jagiełło
mf. 0 0
Gísli Gottskálk Þórðarson
mf. 0 0
Leo Bengtsson
mf. 0 0
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
fw. 0 0
Mikael Ishak
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Krzysztof Bakowski
gk. 0 0
Mateusz Pruchniewski
gk. 0 0
Bartosz Salamon
df. 0 0
Michał Gurgul
df. 0 0
Wojciech Mońka
df. 0 0
Bartłomiej Barański
mf. 0 0
Kornel Lisman
mf. 0 0
Sammy Dudek
mf. 0 0
Timothy Noor Ouma
mf. 0 0
Bryan Benjamin Solhaug Fiabema
fw. 0 0
Filip Szymczak
fw. 0 0
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado
fw. 0 0
KRC Genk

Thorsten Fink
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Tobias Okikiola Lawal
gk. 0 0
Joris Kayembe Ditu
df. 0 0
Matte Smets
df. 0 0
Mujaid Sadick Aliu
df. 0 0
Zakaria El Ouahdi
df. 0 0
Bryan Heynen
mf. 0 0
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
mf. 0 0
Jarne Steuckers
mf. 0 0
Patrik Hrošovský
mf. 0 0
Hyeon-Gyu Oh
fw. 0 0
Yira Collins Sor
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Brent Stevens
gk. 0 0
Lucca Brughmans
gk. 0 0
Adrián José Palacios Hernández
df. 0 0
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
df. 0 0
Ken Nkuba Tshiend
df. 0 0
Konstantinos Karetsas
mf. 0 0
Nikolas Sattlberger
mf. 0 0
Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz
mf. 0 0
Junya Ito
fw. 0 0
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
fw. 0 0
Robin Mirisola
fw. 0 0
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare
fw. 0 0
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