Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: betting odds 15 Nov 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Luxembourg and Bulgaria in Group 3 of League C will take place on November 15 at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Referee: Yuri Frischer (Estonia)


Matches – 5 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 13;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 16;

Penalties – 40%.

Predicted lineups for Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria

Luxembourg (4-3-3): Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Michael Pinto, Lars Gerson, Dirk Carlson – Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Sebastien Thill – Christopher Martins, Danel Sinani, Gerson Rodrigues.


Bulgaria (4-5-1): Dimitar Mitov – Valentin Antov, Zhivko Atanasov, Petko Hristov, Viktor Popov – Simeon Petrov, Filip Krastev, Iliyan Iliev, Georgi Milanov, Martin Minchev – Kiril Despodov.

Luxembourg

After two defeats at the start of the Nations League, Luxembourg managed to draw the next two matches, sharing points with Bulgaria (0-0) and Belarus (1-1). With two points, the team is at the bottom of Group 3 in League C. A defeat in this match would guarantee them a fourth-place finish. Notably, Luxembourg is among the four teams in League C yet to secure a victory, having scored just one goal, which is the lowest tally in the league alongside Cyprus and Bulgaria.


  • No more than 2 goals have been scored in Luxembourg's last 5 Nations League matches.
  • The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 Nations League encounters (4 draws, 3 losses).
  • At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Luxembourg's last 10 home games in this tournament.

Bulgaria

Bulgaria suffered their heaviest defeat in the Nations League, losing 0-5 to Northern Ireland in the last round, marking the second time they have conceded five goals in the tournament's history. This loss ended their seven-match unbeaten streak in the Nations League (3 wins, 4 draws). Additionally, their run of four matches without conceding a goal was also halted. As a result, they dropped to third place in Group 3. However, by earning points in the upcoming match, Bulgaria can ensure they do not fall further, maintaining their position in League C. They still have a chance to win the group.


  • At least one team has failed to score in Bulgaria's last 5 Nations League matches.
  • The team has not scored more than once in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament.
  • Bulgaria has not won away in 9 of their last 10 Nations League outings (5 draws, 4 losses).

Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: Match Prediction

After two goalless defeats at the start of the tournament, Luxembourg managed to regroup and held their own against Bulgaria and Belarus. In the match against Bulgaria, they even had more chances to score. In the last round, they finally opened their scoring account in this Nations League campaign. The hosts have no room for error; a win in the upcoming match would allow them to move off the bottom of the group, overtaking Bulgaria.


Considering Luxembourg's improvement and their competitive performance against Bulgaria away, I believe the hosts have every chance to at least earn a point in the upcoming match. At home, the team has not lost in 4 of their last 6 Nations League matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Bulgaria, on the other hand, has failed to win in 9 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament. Recovering from their last-round debacle will also be challenging for the visitors.


I expect the hosts not to lose this match, and I do not anticipate a high-scoring affair. No more than 2 goals have been scored in 7 of Luxembourg's last 8 home Nations League matches and in 9 of Bulgaria's last 10 away games in the tournament. Therefore, my prediction: 1X + Total under 2.5 goals

Luxembourg — Bulgaria betting tips 15 Nov 2024

As the final stretch of the Nations League group stage approaches, both Luxembourg and Bulgaria have a chance at promotion, though they trail behind Belarus and Northern Ireland. A month ago, the teams delivered a lacklustre performance that ended in a goalless draw, extending their record of low-scoring encounters in head-to-head matches.

In 2024, Luxembourg managed just one victory in eight matches, defeating Kazakhstan in a friendly in March (2:1). Since their June training camp, they have embarked on a goalless streak, failing to score in five consecutive games. Against Belarus (1:1) in the previous round, Luxembourg were fortunate to convert a late penalty, but their lacklustre attacking play remains a concern.

In the same tally of eight matches this year, Bulgaria have surpassed a total over 2.5 only once, which occurred last month in their away game against Northern Ireland (0:5). In Belfast, they missed a penalty and managed to create just 0.45 xG with only one shot on target. Nikola Iliev persists with a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a defensively oriented midfield pairing.

Since October 2017, Luxembourg and Bulgaria have drawn three times, seldom creating scoring opportunities (1:1, 0:0, and 0:0). In this crucial fixture for both sides, they are unlikely to take risks once more.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
1/2
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Luxembourg
15.10.24
Belarus
Luxembourg
D
12.10.24
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
D
08.09.24
Luxembourg
Belarus
L
05.09.24
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
L
More matches
Bulgaria
15.10.24
Northern Ireland
Bulgaria
L
12.10.24
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
D
08.09.24
Bulgaria
Northern Ireland
W
05.09.24
Belarus
Bulgaria
D
More matches

H2H: Luxembourg — Bulgaria

Nations League 2024-2025
12.10.24
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
World Cup 2018 Qualification
10.10.17
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
1
:
1
06.09.16
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
4
:
3
Euro 2008 Qualifiers
11.09.07
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
3
:
0
10.10.06
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
0
:
1
Euro 2000 Qualifiers
09.10.99
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
3
:
0
30.03.99
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
0
:
2

Group stage

League C. Group 3
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Northern Ireland
  -:- 5:0 2:0 4 2 1 1
7:1
7
2
Belarus
0:0   0:0 1:1 4 1 3 0
2:1
6
3
Bulgaria
1:0 -:-   0:0 4 1 2 1
1:5
5
4
Luxembourg
-:- 0:1 -:-   4 0 2 2
1:4
2

Team lineups

Luxembourg

Luc Holtz
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Ralph Schon
gk. 18 -24
Tiago Pereira
gk. 1 -1
Lucas Fox
gk. 0 0
Laurent Jans
df. 108 1
Lars Gerson
df. 97 4
Dirk Carlson
df. 59 0
Florian Bohnert
df. 48 1
Marvin Martins Santos Da Graca
df. 36 3
Mica Pinto
df. 36 1
Enes Mahmutovic
df. 35 0
Eldin Dzogovic
df. 8 0
Seid Korac
df. 8 0
Christopher Martins Pereira
mf. 71 1
Leandro Barreiro
mf. 60 2
Sebastien Thill
mf. 39 2
Mathias Olesen
mf. 26 1
Timothé Rupil
mf. 11 0
Kevin d'Anzico
mf. 2 0
Tomás Moreira
mf. 1 0
Danel Sinani
fw. 67 13
Gerson Rodrigues
fw. 66 22
Alessio Curci
fw. 12 1
David Jonathans
fw. 3 0
Michael Omosanya
fw. 3 0
Bulgaria

Ilian Iliev
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Plamen Iliev
gk. 19 -31
Dimitar Mitov
gk. 7 -8
Svetoslav Vutsov
gk. 6 -6
Valentin Antov
df. 30 1
Petko Hristov
df. 19 0
Viktor Popov
df. 19 0
Alex Petkov
df. 13 0
Zhivko Atanasov
df. 10 0
Simeon Petrov
df. 7 0
Hristiyan Petrov
df. 5 0
Nikolay Minkov
df. 0 0
Georgi Milanov
mf. 47 2
Filip Krastev
mf. 20 1
Ilian Iliev
mf. 17 0
Martin Petkov
mf. 11 2
Andrian Kraev
mf. 8 0
Fabian Nürnberger
mf. 3 0
Vasil Panayotov
mf. 3 0
Kiril Despodov
fw. 53 15
Martin Minchev
fw. 22 0
Radoslav Kirilov
fw. 18 2
Georgi Rosenov Rusev
fw. 17 1
Aleksandar Kolev
fw. 9 0
Lukas Petkov
fw. 5 0
Stanislav Ivanov
fw. 5 0
Ahmed Ahmedov
fw. 2 0
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