Luxembourg vs Slovakia: prediction & betting odds 7 September 2025

The Matchday 6 World Cup 2026 qualifying match between Luxembourg and Slovakia will take place on September 7 at the Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Slovakia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Luxembourg

The team began their qualifying campaign with a home defeat to Northern Ireland (1-3). Luxembourg has lost 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifiers (1 win), conceding at least three goals in 4 of those matches. Moreover, Luxembourg has been unable to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 World Cup qualifying matches. In the standings, Jeff Strasser's side occupies 3rd place, ahead of Germany, who are at the bottom of the group, due to better goal difference.


  • At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Luxembourg's last 8 World Cup qualifiers.
  • At home in this tournament, the team has not won 9 of their last 11 matches (1 draw, 8 losses).
  • The team has scored in 6 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Luxembourg (4-5-1)

Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Seid Korac, Dirk Carlson, Enes Mahmutovic – Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Florian Bohnert, Tomas Morreira – Ayman Dardari.


Defender Seid Korac is suspended.

Slovakia

In the last round, Slovakia defeated Germany 2-0 at home, extending their unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). The team has shown good scoring ability, netting at least two goals in all these games. However, Slovakia lacks defensive reliability, conceding in 7 of their last 10 World Cup qualifiers. With 3 points, Francesco Calzona's side is in 2nd place in Group A.


  • At least one opponent has failed to score in 5 of Slovakia's last 7 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 away World Cup qualifiers (3 draws, 3 losses).
  • The team has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Slovakia (4-3-3)

Martin Dubravka – Milan Skriniar, David Hancko, Norbert Gyomber, Lubomir Satka – Ondrej Duda, Stanislav Lobotka, Matus Bero – David Strelec, David Duris, Leo Sauer.

Referee

Nick Walsh (Scotland)


Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 28;

Penalties – 25%.

Luxembourg vs. Slovakia: Match Prediction

Luxembourg did not expect to compete for a World Cup spot, but certainly did not plan to finish last in the group. To avoid such an outcome, they needed points in the home game against Northern Ireland. In my opinion, these two teams will not challenge for the top two spots. However, Jeff Strasser's side lost this crucial match. Now they face an even stronger opponent, making it even more challenging to achieve a positive result at home. Moreover, Luxembourg has lost 8 of their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers.


Slovakia does not have a strong away record in World Cup qualifiers, but they now have a good opportunity to improve their stats. The team is in good form, having not lost 9 of their last 11 matches in this tournament (5 wins, 5 draws). Importantly, Slovakia has no issues converting chances: in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifiers, they have scored at least twice. This factor will help against the defensively weak Luxembourg side.


My prediction: Slovakia will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals

Luxembourg — Slovakia betting tips 7 September 2025

For Luxembourg this fixture is a chance to redeem themselves after defeat to Northern Ireland and to prove they can at least compete on home soil. Slovakia, buoyed by their sensational win over Germany, now have a genuine shot at challenging for top spot in the group.

Luxembourg endured a dreadful Nations League campaign, failing to win a single match in their group and scoring only three times across six fixtures. In 2025 they have only occasionally shown signs of life, such as the friendly win over Sweden (1:0), but such flashes are rare. Their latest outing ended in a 1:3 loss to Northern Ireland, marred by defensive blunders and a loss of focus after a red card.

Slovakia, meanwhile, are pragmatic and built for results. The team impressed in the Nations League, only bowing out in extra time of the play-offs against Slovenia (0:1 on aggregate). Their qualifying campaign began in style with a 2:0 victory over Germany at home, with David Strelec — who finished as Slovakia’s top scorer in the Nations League with four goals — finding the net again.

Against a depleted Luxembourg side coming off poor results, Slovakia look strong favourites. Riding the momentum of their triumph over Germany, they should consolidate their position with another win.

Betting prediction
Slovakia to win
Cf
Odds
71/100
Bet now

Luxembourg vs Slovakia Odds

World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Luxembourg
04.09.25
Luxembourg
Northern Ireland
L
Slovakia
04.09.25
Slovakia
Germany
W

H2H: Luxembourg — Slovakia

EURO 2024 2024 Qualifiers
16.10.23
Luxembourg
Slovakia
23.03.23
Slovakia
Luxembourg
Euro 2016 Qualifiers
12.10.15
Luxembourg
Slovakia
2
:
4
26.03.15
Slovakia
Luxembourg
3
:
0
World Cup 2006 Qualifiers
07.06.05
Luxembourg
Slovakia
0
:
4
17.08.04
Slovakia
Luxembourg
3
:
1

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group A
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Northern Ireland
  -:- -:- -:- 1 1 0 0
3:1
3
2
Slovakia
-:-   -:- 2:0 1 1 0 0
2:0
3
3
Luxembourg
1:3 -:-   -:- 1 0 0 1
1:3
0
4
Germany
-:- -:- -:-   1 0 0 1
0:2
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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