Manchester City vs Burnley: prediction & betting odds 27 September 2025

The Matchday 6 Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley will take place on September 27 at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City vs. Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Manchester City

In the previous round, Pep Guardiola's team shared the points away with Arsenal (1-1). The Citizens have only one win in their last four league matches (1 draw, 2 losses). These results have increased their gap from league leaders Liverpool to 8 points. Manchester City remains consistent in terms of scoring, having netted 9 goals, with only four teams boasting a better tally. However, in the overall standings, they are only ninth.

  • The team has opened the scoring in 5 of their last 7 Premier League matches.
  • At home in this tournament, Manchester City has won 6 of their last 7 league matches (1 loss).
  • In 6 of their last 8 home games in the Premier League, the club has scored at least two goals.

Predicted lineup for Manchester City (3-5-2)

Gianluigi Donnarumma – Abdukodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol – Nico O'Reilly, Tijjani Reijnders, Rodri Hernandez, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden – Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Due to injuries, goalkeeper Marcus Bettinelli, defenders Abdukodir Khusanov, Rayan Aït-Nouri, midfielder Mateo Kovacic, and forward Rayan Cherki will miss the match.

Burnley

Scott Parker's side played out a 1-1 draw at home against Nottingham Forest in the last round. In the 2025/26 Premier League, the team has secured just one victory (1 draw, 3 losses), and with 4 points, Burnley sits in 16th place in the standings. Additionally, the club has conceded 9 goals, with only four teams having worse defensive records. However, Burnley has scored in 9 of their last 11 Premier League encounters.

  • The team has not conceded more than two goals in 5 of their last 7 Premier League games.
  • At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Burnley's last 12 away league matches.
  • Burnley has scored in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-3-3)

Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Estève, Hjalmar Ekdal – Joshua Laurent, Josh Cullen, Florentino – Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster, Lum Chauna.

Referee

Robert Jones (England)

Matches – 25 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 103;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 24%.

Match Prediction: Manchester City vs. Burnley

In the upcoming match, Pep Guardiola's side should secure three points. At home, the Citizens remain a formidable force, having won 6 of their last 7 league matches. Burnley is outmatched in terms of class and approaches this game with a series of three away defeats, during which Scott Parker's side conceded 8 goals.

The Mancunians, who have scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 home Premier League matches, are likely to capitalize on the visitors' defensive issues. However, Manchester City also lacks defensive solidity, having conceded in 6 of their last 9 home league games. Therefore, a goal from the visitors should not be ruled out.

Moreover, the Citizens have defeated Burnley at home in their last 7 league meetings, with at least three goals scored in 6 of those games. This is another factor supporting the prediction of "Manchester City to win and Total Over 2.5 goals".

Manchester City vs Burnley Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Bookie1X2

Current season

Logo Manchester City Logo Burnley
2 Wins 1
2 Lost 3
1 Draws 1
1.8 GF per game 1
1 GA per game 1.6
3.4 Corners per game 3
1.4 Yellow cards per game 1.4

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Manchester City
21.09.25
Arsenal
Manchester City
D
14.09.25
Manchester City
Manchester United
W
31.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
L
31.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
L
23.08.25
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
L
16.08.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester City
W
More matches
Burnley
20.09.25
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
D
14.09.25
Burnley
Liverpool
L
30.08.25
Manchester United
Burnley
L
23.08.25
Burnley
Sunderland
W
16.08.25
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
L
More matches

H2H: Manchester City — Burnley

Premier League 2023-2024
31.01.24
Manchester City
Burnley
11.08.23
Burnley
Manchester City
FA Cup 2022-2023
18.03.23
Manchester City
Burnley
Premier League 2021-2022
02.04.22
Burnley
Manchester City
16.10.21
Manchester City
Burnley
Premier League 2020-2021
03.02.21
Burnley
Manchester City
28.11.20
Manchester City
Burnley
Premier League 2019-2020
22.06.20
Manchester City
Burnley
03.12.19
Burnley
Manchester City
Premier League 2018-2019
28.04.19
Burnley
Manchester City
FA Cup 2018-2019
26.01.19
Manchester City
Burnley
5
:
0
Premier League 2018-2019
20.10.18
Manchester City
Burnley
Premier League 2017-2018
03.02.18
Burnley
Manchester City
21.10.17
Manchester City
Burnley
Premier League 2016-2017
02.01.17
Manchester City
Burnley
26.11.16
Burnley
Manchester City
Premier League 2014-2015
14.03.15
Burnley
Manchester City
28.12.14
Manchester City
Burnley
Premier League 2009-2010
02.04.10
Burnley
Manchester City
1
:
6
06.11.09
Manchester City
Burnley
3
:
3
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2
Arsenal
5 3 1 1 10:2 10
3
Tottenham Hotspur
5 3 1 1 10:3 10
4
Bournemouth
5 3 1 1 6:5 10
5
Crystal Palace
5 2 3 0 6:2 9
6
Chelsea
5 2 2 1 10:5 8
7
Sunderland
5 2 2 1 6:4 8
8
Fulham
5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9
Manchester City
5 2 1 2 9:5 7
10
Everton
5 2 1 2 6:5 7
11
Manchester United
5 2 1 2 6:8 7
12
Leeds United
5 2 1 2 4:7 7
13
Newcastle United
5 1 3 1 3:3 6
14
Brighton and Hove Albion
5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 5:9 5
16
Burnley
5 1 1 3 5:8 4
17
Brentford
5 1 1 3 6:10 4
18
Aston Villa
5 0 3 2 1:5 3
19
West Ham United
5 1 0 4 5:13 3
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
5 0 0 5 3:12 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2
Arsenal
3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3
Bournemouth
3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 6:2 7
5
Fulham
3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6
Manchester United
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 2 0 5:4 5
8
Chelsea
2 1 1 0 2:0 4
9
Everton
2 1 1 0 2:0 4
10
Leeds United
2 1 1 0 1:0 4
11
Burnley
3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12
Brentford
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
13
Tottenham Hotspur
2 1 0 1 3:1 3
14
Manchester City
2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15
Newcastle United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16
Nottingham Forest
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
17
Crystal Palace
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
18
Aston Villa
2 0 1 1 0:3 1
19
West Ham United
3 0 0 3 2:10 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Tottenham Hotspur
3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2
Crystal Palace
3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3
Liverpool
2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 8:5 4
5
Manchester City
3 1 1 1 6:3 4
6
Arsenal
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
7
Bournemouth
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
8
Everton
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9
Leeds United
3 1 0 2 3:7 3
10
Newcastle United
3 0 3 0 0:0 3
11
West Ham United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
12
Nottingham Forest
3 0 2 1 2:5 2
13
Aston Villa
3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14
Sunderland
2 0 1 1 0:2 1
15
Fulham
2 0 1 1 1:3 1
16
Manchester United
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
17
Brighton and Hove Albion
2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18
Burnley
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
19
Brentford
3 0 0 3 3:8 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 0 0 2 0:2 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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