The Matchday 5 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and PSG will take place on September 21 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
At the start of the current league season, Marseille has struggled with consistency, alternating between big wins against lower-table teams and narrow defeats against top-six clubs. Last week, Roberto De Zerbi's side thrashed Lorient, improving their league position to 7th in Ligue 1. This extended Marseille's home winning streak in the league to six matches, with the team scoring at least three goals in each of these games.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 home games in Ligue 1.
- The club's uncompromising streak in this tournament lasts 6 matches (4 wins, 2 losses).
- Marseille has won with a handicap (+1.5) in their last 14 home league matches.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Geoffrey de Lange – Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina – Angel Gomes, Geoffrey Kondogbia – Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Timothy Weah – Amine Gouiri.
Defender CJ Egan-Riley has served his suspension, while another defender, Nayef Aguerd, might miss the game due to a concussion.
PSG
PSG remains the only team yet to drop a point in this Ligue 1 season. In the last round, they routinely defeated Lens (2-0), marking their sixth consecutive league victory and securing the top spot in the table. Luis Enrique's side has been prolific, with a scoring streak of 24 matches in Ligue 1. Meanwhile, PSG has conceded only three goals this season, sharing the best defensive record with four other clubs.
- PSG has not lost in 42 of their last 43 away league matches (33 wins, 9 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 12 of PSG's last 16 Ligue 1 matches.
- PSG has scored at least one goal in their last 12 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier – Achraf Hakimi, Illya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez – Lee Kang-In, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Main forwards Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue are unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Jerome Brisard (France)
Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 79;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 7;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 40%.
Marseille vs. PSG: Match Prediction
Marseille has won both of their home matches in this Ligue 1 season, scoring a total of nine goals. Their home winning streak in the league stands at six matches. However, in derbies against PSG, the Velodrome has offered little advantage, with Marseille failing to defeat their arch-rivals in 12 home encounters in Ligue 1. Nine of these 12 matches ended in defeat, and in the last six, the team couldn't score.
PSG remains unbeaten in the league this season. Notably, they have won 10 of their last 12 away matches in Ligue 1, with at least three goals scored in nine of those games. In head-to-head encounters, at least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 7 matches, with PSG emerging victorious in all seven.
After debuting in the Champions League, Marseille will have an extra day of rest, but they traveled to Spain, whereas PSG played at home, putting both teams on relatively equal footing. In all other aspects, the advantage lies with the visitors. Prediction – PSG to win and Total over 2.5
