The Matchday 2 fixture of the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 between Orenburg and Akhmat will be held on August 13 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Akhmat: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
Orenburg began the tournament with a 0-2 defeat to Rubin. The team has lost 7 of their last 8 Russian Cup matches (1 win), conceding at least two goals in five of those encounters. However, their 3-match scoring streak in the national cup was snapped against Kazan. In Group A, Orenburg sits at the bottom.
- The team conceded first in 6 of their last 8 Russian Cup games.
- At home, Orenburg scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Orenburg's previous 7 home matches in the Russian Cup.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (3-5-2)
Nikolay Sysuev – Danila Khotulev, Maxim Syshchenko, Nikolay Koserik – Alexander Lomakin, Alexey Baranovsky, Evgeny Bolotov, Stanislav Poroikov, Stepan Oganesyan – Gedeon Guzina, Said Saharkhizan.
Akhmat
Akhmat suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Zenit in the first round, marking their fifth loss in the last six Russian Cup outings. Notably, the team conceded even in their sole victory during this period. Akhmat has scored in four consecutive matches in this tournament. In Group A, the club is third, ahead of Orenburg due to a better goal difference.
- Akhmat has conceded in 8 consecutive away games in the national cup.
- The team has not drawn in their last 14 away matches in this tournament (5 wins, 9 losses).
- Akhmat scored against their upcoming opponent in 14 of the last 16 official meetings.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-5-1)
Giorgi Shelia – Turpal-Ali Ibishev, Darko Todorovic, Maxim Sidorov, Mehdi Zare – Egas Kasinatura, Amin Talal, Maxim Samorodov, Manuel Kelianu, Abakar Gadzhiev – Georgi Melkadze.
Referee
Vasiliy Kazartsev (Russia)
Matches – 6 (Russian Cup, 2022/23 - 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 17;
Penalties – 17%.
Orenburg vs. Akhmat: Match Prediction
The change in head coach has invigorated Akhmat, leading them to a 1-0 victory over Zenit in the recent RPL round. Most importantly, Stanislav Cherchesov's side managed to contain Zenit's attack, as their formidable opponent did not even reach one expected goal (xG). I believe the new coach aims to improve the team's defensive play. Therefore, in the match against Orenburg, expect Akhmat to display solid defensive actions. Akhmat has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Russian Cup.
Orenburg has scored only three goals in five official matches this season. Vladimir Slishkovich's side capitalizes on limited opportunities, but it's unlikely Orenburg will maintain consistency in this aspect. Furthermore, the club has not scored more than once in 4 of their last 5 Russian Cup encounters.
Additionally, no more than two goals have been scored in the last four official meetings between these teams, which supports the prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
