The Matchday 5 clash in Serie A between Pisa and Fiorentina will take place on September 28 at Arena Garibaldi. Pisa vs. Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Pisa
Alberto Gilardino's side put up a commendable fight against Napoli away in the last round, but ultimately fell short, losing 2-3. This defeat marked Pisa's third consecutive loss in the league, and for the first time this Serie A season, the team conceded more than one goal. In the standings, the club has one point and is positioned second from the bottom.
- The team has not lost in 24 of their last 28 home matches in Serie A and Serie B (17 wins, 7 draws).
- The club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 home league games.
- Pisa players have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches in Serie A and Serie B.
Predicted lineup for Pisa (3-5-2)
Adrian Semper – Simone Canestrelli, Antonio Caracciolo, Mateus Luzaurdi – Giovanni Bonfanti, Michel Aebischer, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Marius Marin, Mehdi Leris – Mbala Nzola, Stefano Moreo.
Fiorentina
In the last round, Stefano Pioli's team suffered a 1-2 defeat at home to Como. As a result, Fiorentina remains winless this Serie A season (2 draws, 2 losses). Furthermore, the team has yet to score more than one goal in a match this campaign. With two points, the Florence side is 17th in the standings.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A (3 draws, 5 losses).
- The team conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 13 of their last 14 away league games.
- Fiorentina has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Tariq Lamptey, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Jacopo Fazzini, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Robin Gosens – Roberto Piccoli, Moise Kean.
Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Christian Kouame will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello (Italy)
Matches – 19 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Average yellow cards per match – 3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 21%.
Pisa vs. Fiorentina: Match Prediction
The Serie A newcomer is finding it tough at the start of the season, but Pisa is battling for points in every match. The team prioritizes solid defensive play and doesn't give their opponents many chances: in this championship, the club has conceded more than one goal only when visiting Napoli. Additionally, during last season's Serie B campaign, Pisa conceded a maximum of one goal in 15 out of 19 home games.
In the four rounds of the current championship, Fiorentina has only managed to score three goals. The team's away scoring record is also unimpressive: in their last ten away Serie A matches, the Florence side has scored more than once in just three encounters. Notably, in two of those matches, their opponents were Verona and Udinese, who are not known for strong defensive play.
I believe Pisa will once again play reliably in defense and will not concede more than one goal. My prediction: Fiorentina individual total under 1.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
