The primary goal for both clubs this season is to stay in the Premier League. Everything else comes later. Therefore, this match will see an uncompromising battle for six points.
Southampton need to redeem themselves for their performance in the first round. They managed to lose to Newcastle (0:1) despite gaining a numerical advantage in the 28th minute, only to concede a goal to the hosts. To be fair, they brought this goal upon themselves under pressure. In the second half, Southampton statistically resembled a top side, but despite 84% possession and 15 shots (5 on target), they achieved nothing. Their summer investments of €80 million have yet to pay off.
Nottingham Forest experienced a shock at the beginning of their match against Bournemouth due to a severe injury to Danilo Santos. However, this situation did not affect their resolve, and they managed 14 shots, including 8 on target, but scored only once. They couldn’t hold onto their lead either. This is a general weakness for Nottingham Forest. In the match against Southampton, the team can rely on set pieces. Their aerial game is much stronger than their ground play.
In the 21st century, the clubs have met six times, with each match ending in a victory for one of the teams, including the last meeting (4:3) in favour of Nottingham Forest. Both teams scored fewer goals than they could have in the previous round. The expected goals (xG) values were 0.94 for Southampton and 1.28 for Nottingham Forest, so they should create a significant number of dangerous chances again. Additionally, both teams are far from perfect in defence, making a "Both Teams to Score" bet the most likely outcome.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | U 2.5 | O 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13/10
|
5/2
|
41/20
|
1/1
|
3/4
|
|
|
13/10
|
12/5
|
2/1
|
1/1
|
4/5
|
|
|
13/10
|
5/2
|
2/1
|
1/1
|
4/5
|
|
|
5/4
|
12/5
|
11/5
|
1/1
|
4/5
|
|
|
13/10
|
23/10
|
21/10
|
—
|
—
|
|
|
5/4
|
12/5
|
21/10
|
1/1
|
77/100
|
|
Russell Martin
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
In squad
|
|||
|
Alex McCarthy
|
gk. | 1 | -1 |
|
Gavin Bazunu
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Joe Lumley
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jack Stephens
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Jan Bednarek
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Kyle Walker-Peters
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Armel Bella-Kotchap
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Charlie Taylor
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
James Bree
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Juan Larios
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Nathan Wood
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ronnie Edwards
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ryan Manning
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Yukinari Sugawara
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Carlos Alcaraz
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Flynn Downes
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Joe Aribo
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Tyler-Jay Dibling
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
William Smallbone
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Adam Lallana
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Lesley Ugochukwu
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Mateus Fernandes
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Shea Charles
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Adam Armstrong
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Ben Brereton Díaz
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Cameron Archer
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Kamaldeen Sulemana
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Paul Onuachu
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ross Stewart
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Sam Edozie
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Nuno Espírito Santo
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
In squad
|
|||
|
Matz Sels
|
gk. | 1 | 0 |
|
Carlos Miguel
|
gk. | 0 | -1 |
|
Matt Turner
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Harry Toffolo
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Murillo
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Neco Williams
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Ola Aina
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Willy Boly
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Andrew Omobamidele
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Joe Worrall
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Nikola Milenković
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Álex Moreno
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Elliot Anderson
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Ibrahim Sangaré
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Morgan Gibbs-White
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Nicolás Domínguez
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Ryan Yates
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Jonjo Shelvey
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Anthony Elanga
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Callum Hudson-Odoi
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Chris Wood
|
fw. | 1 | 1 |
|
Taiwo Awoniyi
|
fw. | 1 | 0 |
|
Alex Mighten
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Emmanuel Dennis
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Eric da Silva Moreira
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Josh Bowler
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jota Silva
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ramón Sosa
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ui-jo Hwang
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
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