The Matchday 5 clash in the Bundesliga between Union and Hamburg will take place on September 28 at the An der Alten Försterei Stadium in Berlin. Union vs. Hamburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Union
In the previous round, Steffen Baumgart's side defeated Eintracht in an away match (4-3). As a result, Union secured their second victory in the current championship, but the team conceded at least three goals for the third consecutive Bundesliga match. Additionally, in the last nine league games, the club has not kept a clean sheet. Berliners have accumulated six points and are in tenth place in the standings. Notably, Union has the worst defense in this Bundesliga season, having conceded 11 goals.
- The team has not won in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the league (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The club has scored at least twice in 4 of their last 5 home Bundesliga matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in the last five home league matches of the Berliners.
Predicted lineup for Union (3-5-2)
Frederik Rønnow – Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite – Christopher Trimmel, Oliver Burke, Rani Khedira, Janik Haberer, Leopold Querfeld – Ilyas Ansah, Andrei Ilic.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's side defeated Heidenheim 2-1 at home in the last round. As a result, Hamburg achieved their first victory and scored their first goals in the current Bundesliga season. In the standings, the club climbed to 15th place with four points. Notably, Hamburg is the only team in the current championship that has not scored away from home.
- The club has not won in 17 of their last 18 away Bundesliga matches (4 draws, 13 losses).
- The team has conceded a maximum of two goals in 8 of their last 11 away matches in the top German division.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Hamburg's last 11 away Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Hamburg (3-4-3)
Daniel Fernandes – Warmed Omari, Miro Muheim, Luka Vuskovic – Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Daniel Elfadli, Nikolai Remberg, Jean-Luc Dompe – Fabio Vieira, Ransford Königsdörffer, Ryan Philip.
Referee
Deniz Aytekin (Germany)
Matches – 6 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 17;
Penalties – 33%.
Union vs. Hamburg: Match Prediction
The Berliners played very effectively in the last round, scoring four goals against Eintracht in an away encounter, and they also score a lot at home. In their last seven home Bundesliga matches, Hamburg's players have only once failed to score, and in four matches during this period, Union has scored at least twice.
Hamburg struggles in away matches, primarily due to numerous defensive errors. Hamburg has kept a clean sheet only once in their last 12 away Bundesliga matches, and they managed not to concede only against Borussia Mönchengladbach, the least scoring team in the current championship. Moreover, in the last seven away league matches, Hamburg has conceded 18 goals.
I believe the hosts will score at least twice in this match, and my prediction: Union ITB 1.5
