Utrecht vs Lyon: prediction & betting odds 25 September 2025

The Matchday 1 clash of the 2025/26 Europa League group stage between Utrecht (Netherlands) and Lyon (France) will take place on September 25 at the Galgenwaard Stadium. Utrecht vs. Lyon: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Utrecht

The Dutch secured their Europa League spot by finishing 4th in their national championship. In this tournament, Ron Jans' side defeated Sheriff (3-1, 4-1), Servette (3-1, 2-1), and Zrinjski (2-0, 0-0) in the qualifiers. The team rarely competes on the international stage. Their last Europa League appearance was in the 2019/20 season, where they were eliminated in the second qualifying round. The club's highest achievement was reaching the group stage of the UEFA Cup in 2002.

  • The team is unbeaten in 8 Europa League matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
  • Both teams scored in 6 of Utrecht's last 8 matches in this tournament.
  • In their last 7 home games in the Europa League, the club has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Utrecht (4-5-1)

Vasilios Barkas – Sibe Horemans, Mike van der Hoorn, Nick Viergever, Soufyan El Karouani – Edryen Blake, Jivai Zehiel, Can Bozdogan, Alonzo Tim Engwanda-Onjena, Zidane Iqbal – David Min.

Lyon

The French team finished 6th in last season's Ligue 1, marking their second consecutive participation in the Europa League. In the 2024/25 Europa League, Lyon reached the main stage, advanced past FCSB in the first playoff round, but were eliminated by the eventual finalists in the next stage. The club's best Europa League achievement was reaching the semifinals in the 2016/17 season.

  • The French have scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 Europa League matches.
  • Lyon is unbeaten in regular time in their last 13 away matches in this tournament (9 wins, 4 draws).
  • The team has conceded in 6 of their last 7 away Europa League games.

Predicted lineup for Lyon (3-5-2)

Dominik Greif – Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakate, Nicolas Tagliafico – Tanner Tessmann, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Hales Mera, Adam Karabec, Corentin Tolisso – Malik Fofana, Martin Satriano.

Midfielder Corentin Tolisso is suspended.

Referee

Horatiu Fesnic (Romania)

Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25 - 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 30;

Penalties – 33%.

Utrecht vs. Lyon: Match Prediction

The Dutch have not been fazed by their long absence from the international stage. Utrecht breezed through the qualifiers with 5 wins and one draw. Ron Jans' side showed excellent scoring ability, netting at least two goals in 5 of their 6 Europa League 2025/26 matches. Moreover, the goalless draw in the second leg against Zrinjski ended the club's 7-match scoring streak in this tournament. However, Utrecht lacks defensive reliability: they kept a clean sheet against the aforementioned Montenegrins but conceded in their previous 7 Europa League games.

The experienced European campaigners should have no trouble exploiting the hosts' defensive issues. Lyon scored in 8 of their last 9 Europa League matches, with the club netting at least twice in 7 of those games. However, the French need to tighten their defense. In the last Europa League campaign, Lyon conceded in 9 of their 12 matches.

My prediction: Both teams to score – yes

Utrecht — Lyon betting tips 25 September 2025

For Utrecht, simply reaching the Europa League group stage is already an achievement after a successful qualifying run. But domestically they have struggled for consistency, suffering back-to-back defeats in the Eredivisie to slip into mid-table. Olympique Lyonnais, on the other hand, arrive in strong form with 12 points from five Ligue 1 matches, underlining their credentials as a seasoned European competitor.

The Dutch side came through six qualifying fixtures, winning five, though against modest opposition in Sheriff, Servette and Zrinjski. Their Eredivisie campaign has been more difficult, with defeats in half of their games and a lack of attacking edge. They have failed to score in their last two outings, producing less than 1.0 xG in the 0:1 loss to Fortuna Sittard. At home, Utrecht adopt a cautious approach against stronger sides – their last two fixtures in front of their fans ended 0:0 with Zrinjski and 0:1 to Groningen.

Despite losing several key players due to financial issues, Paulo Fonseca has quickly reshaped Lyon into a pragmatic yet effective unit. They have taken 12 points from their first five Ligue 1 games, recording four clean-sheet victories. The only defeat came against Rennes (1:3), when they collapsed after a red card. Going forward, Olympique Lyonnais have created plenty – 3.04 xG in a 1:0 win over Marseille, and a total of 10.71 xG across five matches, though only seven goals scored. Their efficiency is reflected in tight scorelines: three wins by 1:0, with four of their five league matches staying under 3.5 goals.

With Utrecht cautious at home and Lyon efficient but pragmatic, this match should produce goals but not a high-scoring spectacle. The French side look more likely to take points, and the overall tally should remain below the 3.5 line.

Betting prediction
Olympique Lyonnais to win or draw + Total Under 3.5
Cf
Odds
51/50
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Utrecht vs Lyon Odds

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Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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