Adam Williams presents his prediction for the UFC 311 fight.
Tagir Ulanbekov
To counter Carpenter's pressure, Ulanbekov will utilise a combination of double jabs and crosses. He will respond to each strike with an accurate straight punch, adding a swift low kick. Tagir will unleash a powerful high kick when Clayton once again gears up for an attack and crouches slightly. Additionally, the Russian will target the head with kicks following successful hand combinations. If the takedown is prolonged, Ulanbekov will focus on knee strikes in the clinch. Once on the ground, Tagir will aim to keep Clayton under control for as long as possible.
Clayton Carpenter
With rapid footwork, Clayton can close in for close-range exchanges with side strikes. He will instantly pull back from attacks and return with sweeping overhands. During his offence, Carpenter will launch numerous kicks to the body and legs. He will be confident in his defence and willing to trade blows to seek a knockout. If Clayton evades a strong kick from his opponent, he will immediately shoot for a takedown. On the ground, Carpenter will attempt to establish tight control and finish the fight with short elbow strikes.
Betting Odds
Bookmakers view the versatile and UFC-seasoned Tagir as more dangerous today than the much less experienced American. The odds on Ulanbekov's victory are 1.16. For Clayton, this fight represents a new level of challenge, casting doubt on his readiness. Bets on Carpenter's victory are offered at odds of 4.40.
Tagir Ulanbekov vs Clayton Carpenter Prediction
Tagir is a technical striker and more seasoned fighter, so he is likely to outstrike Clayton, at least in the first round. Carpenter may try to compensate with grappling, but Ulanbekov's skills could ensnare him. The fight is likely to feature a long and aggressive ground battle. It's clear why Tagir is the bookmakers' favourite, but we don't yet know the full potential of Clayton, which makes the odds on Ulanbekov appear high. The optimal bet for this event is total under.
