Aspinall vs. Blaydes: betting odds & prediction

The current Interim UFC Heavyweight Champion Tom Aspinall (UK) will face Curtis Blaydes (USA) in a rematch. Their bout is scheduled for the UFC 304 tournament on July 27 at the Co-op Live Arena in Manchester, UK.

Below you will find a prediction for the fight Blaydes vs Aspinall, odds, betting options, statistics and review of the chances of the fighters to win.

Who will win – Aspinall or Blaydes?

The main card fights are scheduled to start at around 3 AM UTC.

The fighters already faced each other in July 2022 at the UFC Fight Night 208. Tom stumbled and got a knee injury back then.

Aspinall vs Blaydes Odds

Experts realise that the ending of their first fight is a shameful accident, not a deserved result. Tom, who is skillful, fast and accurate, will definitely find a way to beat Curtis, who is pretty straightforward, to defend the title. The odds on Aspinall to win are at 2/5 .

Aspinall vs Blaydes odds to win

Bookmaker

Aspinall to win odds

Blaydes to win odds

CopyBet 2/5 19/10
StarSports 3/10 9/4
10bet 2/5 19/10
Betfred 2/5 2/1
Hollywoodbets 7/20 7/4

Curtis never managed to impress bookmakers with his previous performance, He proved he was a fighter with unvaried punches instead. You can bet on Blaydes to win at 9/4 .

Statistics and Physical Data

Curtis has an advantage in reach. Tom is 3 centimetres taller, though.

Tom Aspinall
Curtis Blaydes
17 Fights 23
14 Wins 18
3 Defeats 4
0 Draws / NC's 1
196 Height 193
198 Reach 203
118.70 Weight 116.60
31 Age 33

Tom Aspinall

  • Interim UFC Heavyweight Champion. Winning 6 UFC Performance of the Night awards. Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt. Winning his only professional boxing fight.

  • 17 fights, 14 wins, 3 defeats. 

Perfect sense of distance, speed, perfect ground fighting skills and a fast change of standing positions are the key features that Tom will have in the upcoming fight. The main thing we saw in the first fight was that the British fighter was ready to initiate attacks without being afraid of slow counter-punches of Blaydes.

Perhaps, Tom will not focus on low kicks this time. He will have his fast punches, closing in to the opponent and changing attacking angles. This will help him make the punches successful.

Besides, if the fight reaches a ground fighting stage, the only thing that Blaydes will be able to do is to protect himself, trying to avoid the submission. Tom will definitely have a necessary advantage to win the bout, anyway.

Aspinall’s Last 5 Fights

Date Opponent Result Method
November 11, 2023 Sergei Pavlovich Won K.O.
July 22, 2023 Marcin Tybura

Won

T.K.O.
July 23, 2022 Curtis Blaydes

Lost

T.K.O.
March 19, 2022 Alexander Volkov

Won

Submission
September 4, 2021 Serghei Spivac

Won

T.K.O.

Curtis Blaydes

  • Winning 4 UFC Performance of the Night awards. Most number of takedowns in the UFC Heavyweight history. Performed in XXFO, SCS, RFA and RDMMA promotions. 

  • 23 fights, 18 wins, 4 defeats, 1 no contest.

Experts are unlikely to be impressed by the way Blaydes beat Jailton Almeida. The opponent easily lost the fight as he was trying to reach the Blaydes’ legs.

Curtis realises that he has little chance to beat Tom in mutual punching. Don’t be surprised if this time he will miss some punchges in the first round, without replying.

Blaydes will have to wait until Tom realises that his opponent isn’t going to do anything. This is the moment when Curtis can make his extremely heavy overhand punch to knock out Aspinall. However, Blaydes needs weeks to improve the speed of his punches and to learn how to hide the start of his attacks.

Blaydes’ Last 5 Fights

Date Opponent Result Method
March 9, 2024 Jailton Almeida Won K.O.
April 22, 2023 Sergei Pavlovich

Lost

T.K.O.
July 23, 2022 Tom Aspinall

Won

T.K.O.
March 26, 2022 Chris Daukaus

Won

T.K.O.
September 25, 2021 Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Won

Decision

Aspinall vs. Blaydes Prediction

Of course, a lucky punch of Blades should be taken into account. It may happen if Aspinall plays with his opponent too much.

There’s a controversial thing in what Tom has recently performed. It’s about overwhelming pressing and confidence in his defence. These tactics worked in the fight against Pavlovich. However, Tom shouldn’t abandon careful rounds to explore an opponent in future.

The Interim Heavyweight Champion title is at stake. Tom’s coaches are likely to ask him to be careful. It will give a chance to win by decision as Blaydes has little chance to win via a knockout.

Tom can beat Blaydes either at the end of the 4th round or in the middle of the 5th one. However, he can even win by decision. Anyway, Tom has every skill he needs to beat this opponent.

My prediction is Aspinall to win.

Frequently Asked Questions

❓ When will the Aspinall - Blaydes fight take place?

The Aspinall - Blaydes fight will take place on July 27 at the Co-op Live Arena in Manchester, UK.

❓ What are the odds on Aspinall vs Blaydes??

You can bet on Aspinall to win at 2/5. The odds on Chandler to win are at 9/4.

Aspinall vs Blaydes: Who will win?

Aspinall has some advantages in techniques, speed, tactics, and perfect sense of distance and defence. He can either beat the opponent in aggressive manner or do the same slowly, hoping to win by decision. The only advantages of Curtis are his reach and strength of punches. It's not always enough to win.