Miami Grand Prix 2026: Predictions and Betting Odds for the Formula 1 Race

The 2026 Miami Grand Prix will take place from 1 to 3 May at the Miami International Autodrome in Miami Gardens. It will be the fourth race of the current season.

Who will win the Miami Grand Prix 2026?

George Russell

69/50

Kimi Antonelli

8/5

Oscar Piastri

15/2

What odds have the bookmakers prepared for the United States round? Find the best odds for the racing weekend in our review.

2026 Miami Grand Prix Winner Odds 

Oscar Piastri’s surprise second-place finish in Japan came as a major shock to Formula 1 fans, particularly after McLaren’s difficult start to the season.

The Australian has now moved into the top three contenders, although bookmakers still believe his chances of repeating that success against the Mercedes cars are limited.

Formula 1 Drivers' Championship Title Betting Odds

For the second race in a row, Kimi Antonelli has demonstrated that the new, highly efficient Mercedes power unit, combined with an outstanding chassis, is performing on a completely different level compared to the rest of the grid.

Kimi Antonelli to win the Miami Grand Prix

Bonus £50

Bet

8/5

Even during pre-season testing, representatives from Red Bull Racing and McLaren were convinced that Toto Wolff and his team were deliberately asking their drivers to hold back in order to disguise the true extent of Mercedes’ advantage over the rest of the field.

It now appears that the only team capable of applying pressure on Antonelli and Russell could be Scuderia Ferrari, whose drivers have already secured four podium finishes across the first three races. There is a growing sense that if Mercedes are not beaten before the midpoint of the race, overtaking even one of Wolff’s cars later on will prove extremely difficult.

Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, like the rest of the grid, are awaiting key upgrades. The focus will not only be on improving speed and reliability, but also on enhancing downforce and reducing tyre degradation. Ferrari are targeting much stronger performances in sprint races and qualifying, aiming to minimise the battle with Mercedes at the start and build an early gap of 5–8 seconds.

Charles Leclerc to win the Miami Grand Prix

Odds

12/1

It may sound ambitious, but Ferrari have already exceeded expectations with their strong start to the season. It is entirely possible that their upgrade package will bring more competition to the front row of the grid.

Personal standings for the 2026 season and odds to win

Will Red Bull Recover After the Season Reset?

While Ferrari’s upgrades are expected to refine an already competitive package, Red Bull Racing appear to be in a far more difficult position. The team’s mechanics are now focused on stabilising the car and simply breaking into the top five.

Amid gearbox issues, excessive tyre wear and even partial steering failures, Max Verstappen no longer seems confident about securing podium finishes in the next few races. Whereas last year Red Bull fans were calculating every possible scenario for a title win, they are now watching Verstappen claim victories in other racing disciplines and even consider stepping away from Formula 1 or switching teams.

However, Sky Sports commentator and former driver Martin Brundle believes the Dutchman should remain patient and avoid making a hasty decision:

2026 Formula 1 Constructors’ Championship Odds

Miami Grand Prix Prediction

This time, two particularly appealing odds have caught our attention. Even ahead of the Japanese round, bookmakers were pricing Charles Leclerc’s chances of a top-3 finish at around 1.66–1.70. However, after Oscar Piastri showed real intent and made it clear he is ready to challenge for podiums, Leclerc’s top-3 odds have drifted significantly to 2.50.

Charles Leclerc to finish in the top 3

Odds

163/100

Taking into account how few issues Scuderia Ferrari needed to address during the recent month-long break, along with the potential impact of their upgrades, it would not be a surprise to see Leclerc even challenge for second place.

And, of course, there is always that familiar element of faith in Red Bull Racing’s latest wave of “ingenious” developments finally delivering results. As Martin Brundle previously noted, Red Bull are set to introduce an intriguing upgrade package. If they can improve balance, tyre management and eliminate minor reliability issues, Max Verstappen could realistically fight for a place inside the top five.

Max Verstappen to finish in the top 6

Odds

21/20

Miami Grand Prix Schedule and Weather Forecast

Forecasters expect partly cloudy conditions on Friday and Saturday, with no rain and temperatures reaching up to +31°C. However, on Sunday the chance of thunderstorms rises to 60%, while temperatures are set to drop to around +27°C.

Where to Watch the 2026 Miami Grand Prix in the UK

All sessions of the Miami Grand Prix, including practice and qualifying, will be broadcast live on Sky Sports F1.

Read also: