The La Liga Matchday 1 encounter between Alaves and Levante will take place on August 16 at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Alaves vs. Levante: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Alaves
Eduardo Coudet's side finished in 14th place last season. The team managed to avoid relegation to the Segunda thanks to a strong finish to the season, securing 2 wins and 1 draw. Notably, the Basque side had one of the worst attacking records in La Liga 2024/25, especially at home. In 19 home games, the club scored only 14 goals, just 3 more than Valladolid, who had the worst home scoring record. However, Alaves' defense at home was the third-best in La Liga, conceding only 17 goals.
This summer, the club saw the departure of defender Santiago Mouriño and forward Tomas Conechny. They have strengthened their squad with defenders Jonny Otto and Youssef Enriques.
- No more than two goals have been scored in Alaves' last 10 La Liga matches.
- Alaves have not lost in 6 of their last 7 La Liga matches (3 wins and 3 draws).
- In their last 14 home league matches, the team has not scored more than 1 goal.
Predicted lineup for Alaves (4-4-2)
Antonio Sivera – Facundo Garces, Manu Sanchez, Nahuel Tenaglia, Alexander Sedlar – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Carlos Benavides, Carles Alena – Kike Garcia, Carlos Vicente.
Levante
The Valencia-based team has returned to La Liga after three years. Under Julian Calero, they won the Segunda last season, securing a direct promotion to the top tier of Spanish football, battling against three other contenders. The team secured their La Liga spot with a four-game winning streak at the end of the season and a strong attacking performance, scoring 69 goals. Only Almeria scored more in the Segunda 2024/25 with 72 goals. Furthermore, Levante was the best away team in the Segunda, collecting 33 points from 21 matches.
The club did not make significant signings this summer, except for the loan of defender Manu Sanchez from Celta. It's worth noting that due to financial fair play issues, the club had only 10 registered players a day before the tournament started.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 7 of Levante's last 8 La Liga matches.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Levante's last 8 league matches.
- The team scored in 7 of their last 8 away La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Levante (4-4-2)
Alfonso Pastor – Adrian de la Fuente, Diego Pampin, Jorge Cabello, Unai Elgezabal – Carlos Alvarez, Oriol Rey, Pablo Martinez, Sergio Lozano – Roger Brugué, Jose Luis Morales.
Referee
Miguel Sesma Espinosa (Spain)
Matches – 24 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 109;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 54%.
Alaves vs. Levante: Match Prediction
Levante had one of the best attacking lines in the Segunda, but even in the second tier, their average scoring rate was only 1.6 goals per game. Scoring in La Liga will be significantly more challenging. In the first round, they face Alaves, who last season, on average, conceded no more than 1 goal per game at home.
I believe the visitors are unlikely to score, or if they do, it will be no more than once. The Basque side has a strong defense and has not conceded more than 1 goal in their last 9 La Liga matches. Alaves' transfer activity this summer, focusing on signing quality defenders and not acquiring attacking players, indicates that they will continue to prioritize solid defensive play this season.
My prediction – Levante Individual Total Under 1
