The Matchday 2 Premier League clash between Arsenal and Leeds will take place on August 23 at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs. Leeds: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Arsenal
The Gunners started with a victory. Playing away, the team narrowly secured 3 points against Manchester United. Despite this, the Manchester side outperformed the Londoners in possession (61:39), shots on goal (22:9), and xG (1.52 to 1.3). Nonetheless, Arsenal kicked off the season with a win for the fourth consecutive time. Additionally, the club currently has a 3-match winning streak in the Premier League.
- In the last 13 Premier League matches, the Gunners have suffered only 1 defeat (6 wins and 6 draws).
- Arsenal has conceded in 8 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the previous 10 home games for the Londoners in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhães, Ben White, William Saliba, Riccardo Calafiori – Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice – Martin Ødegaard, Gabriel Martinelli, Bukayo Saka – Viktor Gyökeres.
Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus will miss the upcoming matches due to injuries.
Leeds
The team successfully returned to the Premier League and started the new season with a victory. At home, Daniel Farke's side defeated Everton with a narrow 1-0 scoreline. It should be noted that Leeds deservedly earned 3 points, as they outperformed their opponent in all key metrics: shots on goal (21:7), corners (7:2), and xG (2.14 to 0.80). The club also managed to break a 9-match winless streak in the Premier League (2 draws and 7 losses).
The club signed forward Noah Okafor.
- Both teams scored in 13 of the last 14 matches for the club in the Premier League.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 12 of Leeds' previous 14 league encounters.
- The team has a 5-match losing streak away in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Leeds (5-3-2)
Lucas Perry – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Ethan Ampadu, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ao Tanaka, Daniel James, Anton Stach – Degnand Gnonto, Joel Piroe.
Referee
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches – 17 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 71;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 18%.
Arsenal vs. Leeds: Match Prediction
Mikel Arteta's side started the season with a win, but the performance against Manchester United was not impressive. Luck played a part. The Gunners urgently need to pick up the pace, or they will struggle not only to compete for the tournament victory but also for a spot in the Champions League zone.
Moreover, the Londoners looked uncertain in the latter half of last season. In the last 13 Premier League matches, they managed to secure only one victory with a margin greater than one goal, and that was against Ipswich, who were relegated to the Championship. Even at home, the club has not won confidently in 7 consecutive Premier League matches. I believe that Arsenal will not win the upcoming match by a margin of two or more goals. Additionally, in the last 16 away Premier League games, Leeds has only lost by a large margin twice.
My prediction: Leeds with a handicap (+2)
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
