Atlético Madrid vs Las Palmas: betting odds 3 Nov 2024

The 12th round La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas will take place on November 3rd at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas: prediction and betting, odds, statistics.

Projected lineups for the match Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Jan Oblak – Axel Witsel, Jose Maria Gimenez, Reinildo Mandava, Nahuel Molina – Rodrigo De Paul, Koke, Conor Gallagher, Samuel Lino – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Las Palmas (4-2-3-1): Jasper Cillessen – Alex Suarez, Scott McKenna, Viti Rosada, Alex Munoz – Jose Campana, Dario Essugu – Alberto Moleiro, Manu Fuster, Kirian Rodriguez – Fabio Silva.

Each team's starting lineup is listed from their last match in this tournament.

Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone's charges suffered their first defeat of the season, losing away to Betis with a score of 0-1. The only goal of the match came from an own goal. Before this, Atletico had gone 11 consecutive La Liga matches without defeat (6 wins and 5 draws). Notably, Atletico has the best defense in the championship – only 7 goals conceded.

Defender Robin Le Normand will miss the match due to injury.

  • No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Atletico's last 6 games in La Liga.
  • A maximum of one goal was scored in the first 45 minutes in the last ten league matches of the Madrid team.
  • The club has a 5-match unbeaten streak at home in La Liga (3 wins and 2 draws).

Las Palmas

The Canaries are approaching this match with two consecutive victories in the league. Diego Martinez's men defeated Valencia away (3:2) and Girona at home (1:0). However, before that, the club had not won in La Liga for 23 matches (8 draws and 15 losses). Nevertheless, Las Palmas has not yet left the relegation zone but is now only one point behind the safe 17th place.

  • No more than three goals were scored in 7 out of the last 10 La Liga matches involving Las Palmas.
  • Both teams scored in 9 out of the last 12 La Liga games for Las Palmas.
  • The club has not won the first half in 13 away league matches (5 draws and 8 losses).

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas: match prediction

The capital club is determined to make amends for the disappointing defeat in the previous round. Atletico has dropped to fourth place and is now 10 points behind the leading Barcelona. I am confident that Diego Simeone's men will secure a convincing victory in the upcoming match against the underdog. Yes, Las Palmas won their last two matches, but they beat opponents who are currently in poor form. I would also add that only Valladolid and Celta have conceded more goals (19) than Las Palmas in the current championship.

In the last eight head-to-head La Liga encounters, Atletico claimed seven victories. Moreover, in six of these matches, the Madrid team won without conceding a goal. Additionally, in all four previous face-to-face meetings in Madrid, the hosts won without conceding. Considering how well Diego Simeone's side plays defensively, I assume they will again manage to win to nil.

My prediction is a "Clean Sheet Victory for Atletico Madrid" with odds of 1.7.

Betting tips 3 Nov 2024

Despite being favourites, Atlético Madrid have recently shown weak attacking play and inconsistent results (even their 2:0 victory over modest Vic in the Cup was unconvincing). They have secured only one win in their last four La Liga matches, scoring more than two goals in just one of those. Las Palmas, on the other hand, have changed their manager and secured two important wins, yet their defensive stability still leaves much to be desired. Las Palmas will try to hold firm and avoid conceding too many goals against Atlético Madrid.

This season, Atlético Madrid have faced issues with converting attacking opportunities: over their last five La Liga matches, they average 11 shots per game but just three of those hit the target, scoring more than one goal in only one of six matches. Additionally, they have not been able to boast about their defence lately—consistently conceding in five of their six league fixtures. However, at home, their record against Las Palmas is favourable, with all encounters ending in a win for Atlético Madrid without conceding a goal (four wins with a 10:0 goal difference).

Under Diego Martínez, Las Palmas have significantly improved their results, adopting a simpler and counter-attacking style. In their last three matches, they have displayed excellent finishing, scoring 11 goals, including seven in the Copa del Rey, albeit against a semi-professional team. Yet, Las Palmas' defence is not particularly disciplined, having conceded 19 goals over 11 rounds (an average of 1.7 per game). Their away form is terrible—one win and four losses in five matches, conceding in all of them.

Considering Atlético Madrid's struggles with finishing and stability, it's likely that they will beat the visitors but not score many goals. Therefore, a bet on the hosts' individual total under 2.5 should be considered.

Betting prediction
Atlético Madrid Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
7/10
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Atlético Madrid vs Las Palmas Odds

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La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Atlético Madrid
27.10.24
Real Betis
Atlético Madrid
L
20.10.24
Atlético Madrid
Leganés
W
06.10.24
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid
D
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
26.09.24
Celta
Atlético Madrid
W
22.09.24
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
D
15.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Valencia
W
31.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
W
28.08.24
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol
D
25.08.24
Atlético Madrid
Girona
W
19.08.24
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
D
More matches
Las Palmas
26.10.24
Las Palmas
Girona
W
21.10.24
Valencia
Las Palmas
W
05.10.24
Las Palmas
Celta
L
30.09.24
Villarreal
Las Palmas
L
26.09.24
Las Palmas
Real Betis
D
21.09.24
Osasuna
Las Palmas
L
15.09.24
Las Palmas
Athletic Bilbao
L
01.09.24
Alavés
Las Palmas
L
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Leganés
Las Palmas
L
16.08.24
Las Palmas
Sevilla
D
More matches

H2H: Atlético Madrid — Las Palmas

La Liga 2023-2024
17.02.24
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas
03.11.23
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2017-2018
28.01.18
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas
26.08.17
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2016-2017
29.04.17
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid
17.12.16
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas
La Liga 2015-2016
17.01.16
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid
22.08.15
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
Barcelona
13 11 0 2 40:12 33
Real Madrid
12 8 3 1 25:11 27
Atlético Madrid
13 7 5 1 19:7 26
Villarreal
12 7 3 2 23:19 24
Osasuna
13 6 3 4 17:20 21
Athletic B.
13 5 5 3 19:13 20
7
Real Betis
13 5 5 3 14:12 20
8
Real Sociedad
13 5 3 5 11:10 18
9
Mallorca
13 5 3 5 10:10 18
10
Girona
13 5 3 5 16:17 18
11
Celta
13 5 2 6 20:22 17
12
Rayo Vallecano
12 4 4 4 13:13 16
13
Sevilla
13 4 3 6 12:18 15
14
Leganes
13 3 5 5 13:16 14
15
Alaves
13 4 1 8 14:22 13
16
Las Palmas
13 3 3 7 16:22 12
17
Getafe
13 1 7 5 8:11 10
18
Espanyol
12 3 1 8 11:22 10
19
Valladolid
13 2 3 8 10:25 9
20
Valencia
11 1 4 6 8:17 7
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
5 4 0 1 15:3 12
2
Villarreal
5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3
Atlético Madrid
5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4
Real Madrid
5 3 1 1 9:6 10
5
Real Sociedad
5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6
Las Palmas
5 3 0 2 7:6 9
7
Girona
5 3 0 2 7:6 9
8
Real Betis
5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9
Leganes
5 2 1 2 8:7 7
10
Rayo Vallecano
5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11
Celta
5 2 1 2 5:7 7
12
Osasuna
5 2 1 2 5:7 7
13
Athletic B.
5 1 3 1 7:5 6
14
Sevilla
5 2 0 3 4:8 6
15
Mallorca
5 1 1 3 2:4 4
16
Valladolid
5 1 1 3 6:8 4
17
Getafe
5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18
Valencia
5 0 3 2 3:7 3
19
Espanyol
5 1 0 4 4:11 3
20
Alaves
5 1 0 4 3:10 3
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Madrid
7 6 0 1 18:7 18
2
Osasuna
7 5 1 1 13:8 16
3
Barcelona
5 5 0 0 18:3 15
4
Real Betis
7 4 2 1 10:6 14
5
Atlético Madrid
6 4 2 0 12:2 14
6
Celta
7 4 1 2 11:7 13
7
Athletic B.
7 3 3 1 11:6 12
8
Villarreal
6 3 2 1 14:12 11
9
Girona
6 3 1 2 11:9 10
10
Leganes
6 3 1 2 6:4 10
11
Alaves
6 3 1 2 7:7 10
12
Sevilla
6 3 0 3 5:7 9
13
Espanyol
6 3 0 3 8:9 9
14
Mallorca
7 2 3 2 4:4 9
15
Getafe
7 1 5 1 5:4 8
16
Rayo Vallecano
6 2 2 2 8:8 8
17
Real Sociedad
7 2 1 4 7:9 7
18
Las Palmas
6 1 3 2 7:8 6
19
Valladolid
7 1 3 3 5:7 6
20
Valencia
5 1 2 2 6:6 5
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
8 6 0 2 22:9 18
2
Villarreal
6 4 1 1 9:7 13
3
Atlético Madrid
7 3 3 1 7:5 12
4
Real Sociedad
6 3 2 1 4:1 11
5
Real Madrid
5 2 3 0 7:4 9
6
Mallorca
6 3 0 3 6:6 9
7
Athletic B.
6 2 2 2 8:7 8
8
Rayo Vallecano
6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9
Girona
7 2 2 3 5:8 8
10
Sevilla
7 1 3 3 7:11 6
11
Las Palmas
7 2 0 5 9:14 6
12
Real Betis
6 1 3 2 4:6 6
13
Osasuna
6 1 2 3 4:12 5
14
Leganes
7 0 4 3 7:12 4
15
Celta
6 1 1 4 9:15 4
16
Valladolid
6 1 0 5 5:18 3
17
Alaves
7 1 0 6 7:15 3
18
Getafe
6 0 2 4 3:7 2
19
Valencia
6 0 2 4 2:11 2
20
Espanyol
6 0 1 5 3:13 1

Team lineups

Atlético Madrid

Diego Simeone
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Jan Oblak
gk. 10 -7
Juan Musso
gk. 1 0
Alejandro Iturbe
gk. 0 0
José María Giménez
df. 10 0
Reinildo Mandava
df. 10 0
Nahuel Molina Lucero
df. 8 0
Robin Le Normand
df. 7 0
Axel Witsel
df. 6 0
César Azpilicueta
df. 5 0
Javi Galán
df. 4 0
Clément Lenglet
df. 2 0
Koke
mf. 11 1
Rodrigo De Paul
mf. 10 0
Conor Gallagher
mf. 8 2
Marcos Llorente
mf. 8 2
Pablo Barrios
mf. 6 0
Tom Lemaire
mf. 1 0
Javier Serrano Martínez
mf. 0 0
Alexander Sorloth
fw. 11 3
Antoine Griezmann
fw. 11 3
Julián Alvarez
fw. 11 3
Ángel Correa
fw. 10 2
Samuel Dias Lino
fw. 9 0
Rodrigo Riquelme
fw. 8 0
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
fw. 6 0
Borja Garcés
fw. 0 0
Víctor Mollejo
fw. 0 0
Las Palmas

Diego Martínez Penas
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Jasper Cillessen
gk. 9 -15
Dinko Horkaš
gk. 2 -4
Alex Suárez
df. 9 0
Álex Muñoz
df. 9 3
Mika Mármol
df. 7 0
Scott McKenna
df. 7 0
Juanma Herzog
df. 5 0
Daley Sinkgraven
df. 2 0
Alberto Moleiro
mf. 11 4
Javi Muñoz
mf. 11 0
Kirian Rodríguez
mf. 10 0
Dário Essugo
mf. 6 0
Enzo Loiodice
mf. 6 0
José Campaña
mf. 6 0
Marvin Park
mf. 6 0
Bassinga
mf. 1 0
Fabio
mf. 1 0
Pejiño
mf. 1 0
Iván Gil
mf. 0 0
Oliver McBurnie
fw. 11 0
Viti Rozada
fw. 10 0
Jaime Mata
fw. 9 0
Sandro Ramírez
fw. 8 3
Benito Ramírez del Toro
fw. 7 0
Fábio Silva
fw. 7 2
Manu Fuster
fw. 7 0
Adnan Januzaj
fw. 5 0
Marc Cardona
fw. 4 0

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Andy H
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