The Matchday 2 Premier League clash between Burnley and Sunderland will take place on August 23 at Turf Moor. Burnley vs. Sunderland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
The team has started their Premier League campaign with a defeat for the fifth consecutive time. This time, they lost 3-0 away to Tottenham. Scott Parker's side was noticeably outplayed in terms of ball possession, but in other aspects, they were not far behind the Europa League winners. Nevertheless, Burnley's winless streak in the Premier League has grown to five matches (1 draw and 4 losses). It's also worth noting that the team has conceded in 21 consecutive top-flight matches in England.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 league games.
- Burnley has secured only 1 win in their last 11 Premier League home games (3 draws and 7 losses).
- The team has not scored more than 1 goal in 9 of their last 11 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (5-4-1)
Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Quilindsi Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Oliver Sonne, Hjalmar Ekdal – Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Joshua Laurent, Jaidon Anthony – Lyle Foster.
Defender Bashir Humphreys and forward Zeki Amdouni will miss the match due to injuries.
Sunderland
After an 8-year absence, the team has returned to the elite of English football. Their comeback was unexpected, as they thrashed Premier League regulars West Ham 3-0 at home. All three goals were scored in the second half, showcasing high efficiency in front of goal. Notably, the xG for both teams in this match was less than one – 0.68:0.56.
- In the last 10 Premier League and Championship matches, the club has secured only 3 wins (1 draw and 6 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in 10 of Sunderland's last 13 games across these two competitions.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the Premier League and Championship.
Predicted lineup for Sunderland (4-3-3)
Robin Ruiter – Daniel Ballard, Jenson Seelt, Reinildo Mandava, Trai Hume – Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Habib Diarra – Simon Adingra, Chemsdine Talbi, Eliezer Mayenda.
Referee
Michael Salisbury (England)
Matches – 14 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.7;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 14%.
Burnley vs. Sunderland: Match Prediction
Of the three newcomers who have been promoted this season, only Scott Parker's side has yet to earn points or score a goal. In this matchup of newly promoted clubs, the hosts have a chance to collect their first points. In the last Championship season, Burnley suffered only two losses in 46 matches, and they were unbeaten at home with 14 wins and 9 draws. Meanwhile, Sunderland managed only 9 away wins in 23 matches in the second tier of English football (6 draws and 8 losses).
Additionally, I expect this match to be low-scoring. This was the case in the last three head-to-head encounters in the Championship, with only one goal scored in total. Therefore, I suggest a combined prediction for the upcoming clash – 1X and Total under 2.5 goals.
