England Women vs Italy Women: prediction & betting odds 22 July 2025

The Women's Euro 2025 semi-final match between England and Italy will take place on July 22 at Stade de Genève. England vs. Italy: prediction and betting odds, Euro 2025 match statistics.

England (Women)

In the quarter-finals, the English team faced Sweden and only secured victory in a penalty shootout (2-2, extra time 0-0, penalties 3-2). The team conceded two goals first but managed to equalize towards the end of the match. As a result, the team has reached the semi-finals of the European Championship for the third consecutive time. Notably, England won the title in the last tournament. Additionally, in the current Euros, the team has been highly productive, ranking in the top three for the number of goals scored (13).

  • The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 European Championship matches (6 wins, 3 draws).
  • The team has conceded in regular time in 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
  • At least four goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 6 of England's last 9 matches in the Euros.

Predicted lineup for England (Women) (4-3-3)

Hannah Hampton – Lucy Bronze, Leah Williamson, Jessica Carter, Alex Greenwood – Georgia Stanway, Keira Walsh, Ella Toone – Lauren James, Alessia Russo, Lauren Hemp.

Italy (Women)

In the quarter-finals, Italy overcame Norway, scoring the decisive goal in the 90th minute (2-1). As a result, the team reached the semi-finals of the European Championship for the first time since 1997. That year, Italy last played in the final match of the tournament, losing to Germany (0-2). In the current Euros, the team hasn't been particularly impressive in attack, scoring only five goals in four matches. Moreover, against Norway, Italy scored more than once in 90 minutes for the first time in their last seven European Championship encounters.

  • The team has not won in regular time in 5 of their last 7 European Championship matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
  • No more than three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Italy's last 6 matches in this tournament.
  • Italy has conceded a maximum of one goal in regular time in 5 of their last 6 European Championship matches.

Predicted lineup for Italy (Women) (3-5-2)

Laura Giuliani – Cecilia Salvai, Elena Linari, Lucia Di Guglielmo – Elisabetta Oliviero, Manuela Giugliano, Arianna Caruso, Emma Severini, Barbara Bonansea – Sofia Cantore, Cristiana Girelli.

Referee

Ivana Martinčić (Croatia)

Matches – 8 (International matches, 2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 25%.

England (Women) vs. Italy (Women): Match Prediction

In the current Euros, England has been performing confidently – only in the opening match against France did they fail to secure a positive result (1-2). In the other two group matches, the team convincingly defeated the Netherlands and Wales, achieving big wins, and then overcame Sweden in the quarter-finals. Overall, the team has ten wins in regular time in their last 15 European Championship matches. Moreover, in this tournament, England has been very effective in attack, scoring 13 goals in four games.

Italy has not been impressive in terms of scoring in the current Euros, but the team has consistently found the net, scoring at least once in each of the four matches played. Reaching the semi-finals is a significant achievement for the team, but achieving more will be extremely challenging for Italy. Especially since in this tournament, they already lost to an opponent comparable to England – in the group stage, Italy was defeated by Spain with a score of 1-3.

I expect a victory for England and a high-scoring game in this match. My prediction: "P1 and ITB 2.5"

England Women — Italy Women betting tips 22 July 2025

At the past two UEFA Women’s Euro tournaments, Italy failed to progress beyond the group stage. This time, however, they have reached the semi-finals. Their chances of advancing to the final appear slim, as they now face reigning European champions England.

This marks the sixth consecutive major tournament in which England have reached the semi-finals, including two previous Euros and three World Cups. However, only UEFA Women’s Euro 2022 resulted in a title. On their way to that triumph, England swept aside Sweden with a dominant 4:0 win. At the current tournament, they faced Sweden again, this time progressing after a penalty shootout (2:2, 3:2 on penalties). Sweden missed three of their five attempts due to poor accuracy, while the England goalkeeper made four saves.

Italy avoided penalties in their quarter-final, overcoming Norway in regulation time. They benefited from being drawn against the lowest-ranked group winner (No. 16), while Italy themselves are ranked 13th. The team showed more attacking intent and posed the greater threat going forward, but the decisive goal only arrived in the 90th minute, when Cristiana Girelli, the experienced forward, scored her second of the match.

While Italy have occasionally reached the knockout stages, they have not made it to the semi-finals of a Women’s Euro since 1997, when they eventually lost in the final. The current fixture appears to be heavily tilted against them. In the past two years, England have played Italy twice, winning both matches while conceding – 2:1 and 5:1 respectively.

Betting prediction
England (women) to win + Total Over 2.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
117/100
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England Women vs Italy Women Odds

Women Euro: previous matches in the tournament

England Women
17.07.25
Sweden Women
England Women
2
:
2
0
:
0
OT
2
:
3
P
D
13.07.25
England Women
Wales Women
W
09.07.25
England Women
Netherlands Women
W
05.07.25
France Women
England Women
L
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Italy Women
16.07.25
Norway Women
Italy Women
W
11.07.25
Italy Women
Spain Women
L
07.07.25
Portugal Women
Italy Women
D
03.07.25
Belgium Women
Italy Women
W
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H2H: England Women — Italy Women

Women Euro 2005 2009
28.08.09
England Women
Italy Women
1
:
2

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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