The Matchday 2 clash in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage between Pafos (Cyprus) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on September 30 at the Alphamega Stadium in Limassol. Pafos vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Pafos
Juan Carlos Carcedo's side managed to hold on for a draw against Olympiacos in their opening match, despite playing with ten men from the 26th minute (0-0). As a result, Pafos extended their unbeaten run in the Champions League to seven matches (4 wins, 3 draws). Moreover, the team has kept a clean sheet in four of their last six matches in this European competition. In the overall group stage standings, the Cypriots are in 21st place.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of the team's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club has conceded a maximum of one goal in their last seven matches in this European competition.
- The Cypriots have scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 Champions League games.
Predicted lineup for Pafos (4-3-3)
Neofytos Michail – David Gomez Goldar, Derrick Luckassen, David Luiz, Joao Correia – Ivan Sunjic, Vlad Dragomir, Pepe Rodrigues – Mislav Orsic, Jaja, Landry Dimata.
Defender David Luiz will miss the match due to injury. Forward Bruno is suspended.
Bayern Munich
In their first match, Vincent Kompany's team defeated Chelsea at home (3-1). Over the last eight Champions League matches, Bayern Munich has suffered only one defeat (5 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, the club has scored at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 matches in this European competition. However, the Munich side has only managed to keep a clean sheet twice in their last ten Champions League encounters. Bayern is currently in sixth place in the overall group stage standings.
- The team has not won in 7 of their last 10 away Champions League matches (2 draws, 5 losses).
- The club has conceded in 9 of their last 10 away matches in this European competition.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Bayern's last 8 away Champions League games.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Raphael Guerreiro, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer – Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Leon Goretzka, Joshua Kimmich, Luis Diaz – Harry Kane.
Defenders Josip Stanisic, Sacha Boey, Kim Min-jae, Alphonso Davies, and Hiroki Ito, as well as midfielder Jamal Musiala, are injured.
Referee
Manfredas Lukjancukas (Lithuania)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Pafos vs. Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
In their debut Champions League season, the Cypriots are performing very well. Pafos navigated through three qualifying rounds and has already secured their first points in the group stage. However, in their opening match against Olympiacos, Pafos failed to score for the first time in this Champions League campaign, largely due to an early sending-off. Therefore, it is reasonable to expect another strong performance from the hosts, even against a high-caliber opponent.
Furthermore, Bayern Munich cannot boast a reliable defense, especially in away matches. In their last ten away Champions League games, the Munich side has kept a clean sheet only once, conceding at least two goals in five of those encounters. Additionally, the team has allowed their opponents to score in 6 of their last 8 away Bundesliga matches.
I anticipate the Cypriots will find the net against the Germans, so my prediction: Pafos Individual Total Over 0.5
